Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction and MLB Tips - 16 June 2025
Last updated: Jun 15, 2025, 8:10PM | Published: Jun 14, 2025, 6:33PM
The Arizona Diamondbacks will face the San Diego Padres in MLB action at Chase Field on Monday, starting at 6:10am AEST.
Merrill Kelly (6-2, 3.18 ERA) will start on the mound for the Diamondbacks, pitting him against Nick Pivetta (6-2, 3.48 ERA) for the Padres.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Diamondbacks vs Padres game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Arizona vs San Diego MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Diamondbacks a 54% chance of defeating the Padres at Chase Field.
Diamondbacks vs Padres: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Chase Field are shown here:
- Head to Head: Diamondbacks $1.71, Padres $2.20
- Line: Diamondbacks -1.5 ($2.50), Padres +1.5 ($1.56)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Diamondbacks at $1.71 and the Padres at $2.20.
The Diamondbacks are 1.5-run favourites against the Padres, with odds of $2.50 available at TAB.
For the underdog Padres (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.56.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Padres (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 64% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Diamondbacks vs Padres: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: San Diego at $2.20 with TAB
- Line: Padres +1.5 at $1.56 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
These Diamondbacks vs Padres best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Diamondbacks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Padres to win is our preferred option because of the 1.9% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 8.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($1.91) that are available from TAB.
Diamondbacks vs Padres: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Arizona vs San Diego game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Arizona vs San Diego match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Diamondbacks vs Padres: Essential Details
The match-up between the Diamondbacks and Padres at Chase Field is scheduled to start at 6:10am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Monday 16 June 2025
- Time: 6:10am AEST
- Venue: Chase Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Arizona vs San Diego predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on MLB
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.
