Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 May 2026
Last updated: May 10, 2026, 8:09PM | Published: May 10, 2026, 4:34AM
The Arizona Diamondbacks will face the New York Mets in MLB action at Chase Field on Monday, starting at 6:10am AEST.
Eduardo Rodriguez (3-0, 2.50 ERA) will be on the bump for the Diamondbacks, while the Mets will counter with Huascar Brazobán (2-0, 1.53 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Diamondbacks vs Mets game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Arizona vs NY Mets MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Diamondbacks a 51% chance of defeating the Mets at Chase Field.
Diamondbacks vs Mets: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Chase Field are listed here:
- Head to Head: Diamondbacks $1.87, Mets $1.95
- Line: Diamondbacks -1.5 ($2.75), Mets +1.5 ($1.48)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Diamondbacks at $1.87 and the Mets at $1.95.
The Diamondbacks are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Mets, with odds of $2.75 available at TAB.
For the underdog Mets (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.48.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 64% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to go over 61% of the time.
Diamondbacks vs Mets: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Arizona at $1.87 with TAB
- Line: Diamondbacks -1.5 at $2.75 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Diamondbacks vs Mets best bets are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Mets are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Diamondbacks -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Diamondbacks vs Mets: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Arizona vs NY Mets game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Arizona vs NY Mets game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Diamondbacks vs Mets: Essential Details
The game between the Diamondbacks and Mets at Chase Field is scheduled to commence at 6:10am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets
- Date: Monday 11 May 2026
- Time: 6:10am AEST
- Venue: Chase Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Arizona vs NY Mets predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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