Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone Prediction - ATP Italian Open 2026
Last updated: May 6, 2026, 7:07AM | Published: May 5, 2026, 5:55AM
Denis Shapovalov will face Mariano Navone in the round of 128 at the 2026 ATP Italian Open tournament on Thursday.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Shapovalov vs Navone match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Shapovalov-Navone men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives Navone a 57% chance of winning against Shapovalov at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Shapovalov vs Navone: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's ATP Italian Open match between Shapovalov and Navone are shown below:
- Head to Head: Shapovalov $2.50, Navone $1.53
- First Set: Shapovalov $2.30, Navone $1.61
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Shapovalov at $2.50 and Navone at $1.53.
TAB currently has odds for Shapovalov to win the first set at $2.30 and odds for Navone to win the first set at $1.61.
Shapovalov vs Navone: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Shapovalov at $2.50 with TAB
- First Set: Navone at $1.80 with TAB (56% probability)
Stats Insider's Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone predictions are based on world-class modelling and wagering experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Navone is more likely to win the match, taking Shapovalov to win is our preferred option due to the 2.7% edge we discovered when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.
And while Navone is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Navone ($1.80) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Shapovalov vs Navone: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone match at the ATP Italian Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Shapovalov-Navone match at the ATP Italian Open event.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Shapovalov vs Navone: ATP Italian Open Essential Details
The 2026 ATP Italian Open match between Denis Shapovalov and Mariano Navone is scheduled to start at 7:00pm AEST.
- Match: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone
- Date: Thursday 7 May 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:00pm AEST
- Event: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on Tennis
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, tips for every tennis match, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.
