Denis Shapovalov vs Marcos Giron Prediction - ATP Mexico Open 2025
Last updated: Feb 28, 2025, 2:32AM | Published: Feb 27, 2025, 1:11PM
Denis Shapovalov will face Marcos Giron in the quarter-finals at the 2025 ATP Mexico Open tournament on Friday.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Shapovalov vs Giron match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Shapovalov-Giron men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives Shapovalov a 62% chance of beating Giron at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.
Shapovalov vs Giron: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's ATP Mexico Open match between Shapovalov and Giron are shown below:
- Head to Head: Shapovalov $1.44, Giron $2.75
- First Set: Shapovalov $1.53, Giron $2.50
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Shapovalov at $1.44 and Giron at $2.75.
TAB currently has odds for Shapovalov to win the first set at $1.53 and odds for Giron to win the first set at $2.50.
Shapovalov vs Giron: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Giron at $2.75 with TAB
- First Set: Giron at $2.00 with TAB (0.5% edge)
Today's Denis Shapovalov vs Marcos Giron best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though our predictive analytics model indicates that Shapovalov is more likely to win the match, betting on Giron to win is the best option because of the 3.3% edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.
And while Shapovalov is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Giron ($2.00) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Shapovalov vs Giron: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Denis Shapovalov vs Marcos Giron match at the ATP Mexico Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Shapovalov-Giron match at the ATP Mexico Open event.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Shapovalov vs Giron: ATP Mexico Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Mexico Open match between Denis Shapovalov and Marcos Giron is scheduled to commence at 1:20pm AEDT.
- Match: Denis Shapovalov vs Marcos Giron
- Date: Friday 28 February 2025
- Approx. Time: 1:20pm AEDT
- Event: ATP Acapulco, Mexico Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Quarter-finals
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Denis Shapovalov vs Marcos Giron predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on Tennis
Stats Insider is your home for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, predictions for every tennis tournament, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

