Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca Prediction - ATP Paris Masters 2025
Last updated: Oct 28, 2025, 12:37PM | Published: Oct 25, 2025, 5:53AM
Denis Shapovalov will face Joao Fonseca in the round of 64 at the 2025 ATP Paris Masters tournament on Tuesday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Shapovalov vs Fonseca match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's Shapovalov-Fonseca men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives Fonseca a 53% chance of defeating Shapovalov at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.
Shapovalov vs Fonseca: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's ATP Paris Masters match between Shapovalov and Fonseca are shown below:
- Head to Head: Shapovalov $2.30, Fonseca $1.61
- First Set: Shapovalov $2.20, Fonseca $1.66
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Shapovalov at $2.30 and Fonseca at $1.61.
TAB currently has odds for Shapovalov to win the first set at $2.20 and odds for Fonseca to win the first set at $1.66.
Shapovalov vs Fonseca: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Shapovalov at $2.30 with TAB
- First Set: Fonseca at $1.80 with TAB (56% probability)
Stats Insider's Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca betting tips are based on complex modelling and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though our predictive analytics model indicates that Fonseca is more likely to win the match, taking Shapovalov to win is our preferred option due to the 3.1% edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Using the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable over the long run.
And while Fonseca is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Fonseca ($1.80) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Shapovalov vs Fonseca: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca match at the ATP Paris Masters tournament, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Shapovalov-Fonseca match at the ATP Paris Masters event.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Shapovalov vs Fonseca: ATP Paris Masters Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Paris Masters match between Denis Shapovalov and Joao Fonseca is scheduled to begin at 11:00pm AEDT.
- Match: Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca
- Date: Tuesday 28 October 2025
- Approx. Time: 11:00pm AEDT
- Event: ATP Paris, France Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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