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Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction - ATP Mexico Open 2025

Denis Shapovalov will face Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the semi-finals at the 2025 ATP Mexico Open tournament on Saturday.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Shapovalov vs Davidovich Fokina match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Shapovalov-Davidovich Fokina men's singles match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives Shapovalov a 55% chance of beating Davidovich Fokina at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.

Shapovalov vs Davidovich Fokina: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's ATP Mexico Open match between Shapovalov and Davidovich Fokina are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Shapovalov $1.53, Davidovich Fokina $2.50
  • First Set: Shapovalov $1.61, Davidovich Fokina $2.30

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Shapovalov at $1.53 and Davidovich Fokina at $2.50.

TAB currently has odds for Shapovalov to win the first set at $1.61 and odds for Davidovich Fokina to win the first set at $2.30.

Shapovalov vs Davidovich Fokina: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Davidovich Fokina at $2.50 with TAB
  • First Set: Davidovich Fokina at $1.83 with TAB (51% probability)

If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.

Our Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina predictions are based on detailed simulations and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.

Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Shapovalov is more likely to win the match, taking Davidovich Fokina to win is our preferred option because of the 6.8% edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.

Using the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.

And while Shapovalov is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Davidovich Fokina ($1.83) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.

Shapovalov vs Davidovich Fokina: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina match at the ATP Mexico Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Shapovalov-Davidovich Fokina match at the ATP Mexico Open event.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Shapovalov vs Davidovich Fokina: ATP Mexico Open Essential Details

The 2025 ATP Mexico Open match between Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is scheduled to start at 2:20pm AEDT.

  • Match: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
  • Date: Saturday 1 March 2025
  • Approx. Time: 2:20pm AEDT
  • Event: ATP Acapulco, Mexico Men's Singles 2025
  • Round: Semi-finals

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, tips for every tennis match, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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