Data Road Trip: In It To Win It

In Data Road Trip, the Stats Insider team looks back on the numbers that defined some of the weekend's most exciting clashes.

81%

When the Melbourne Storm led 10-4 close to halfway through the second half against Wests Tigers, they rose to an 81 percent chance of winning according to SI's Win Probability data. It wasn't to be though, as the Tigers pulled off another late comeback. The NRL's underdogs are now 4-1 this season, whilst the Storm slip to 2-3.

300 & 400

Billy Slater's 300th game took place in round two. Craig Bellamy's 400th in round five. What do they have in common? They were both ruined by Wests Tigers victories against the Storm. Against the odds, Wests pulled off two improbable comebacks, winning 10-8 and 11-10 respectively. What else did those two games have in common? SI's punting prediction recommended Wests as a bet in both of them.

60%

After Carlton's early surge on Friday night they'd moved from underdogs to 60 percent favourites according to SI's win probability. It was a false down however, as Collingwood kicked the next 10 goals to shatter Carlton hearts in one of the biggest rivalries in Australian sport.

15

That's how many points clear under the Total of 40 that the Newcastle Knights and Brisbane Broncos finished in their 15-10 defensive grind on Saturday night in Newcastle. SI's simulations had the Under being totaled 66 percent of the time.

19.5

Is the amount of points in difference between SI's score prediction for the Sydney-GWS game and the bookies line. SI had the Swans winning 103-75, whilst the bookies had the line and total at 8.5 and 173.5 respectively. The end result was 103-87, as SI's faith in Sydney was rewarded.