Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Prediction - ATP Shanghai Masters 2026
Last updated: Oct 15, 2026, 1:22AM | Published: Oct 14, 2026, 3:53PM
Daniil Medvedev will take on Tommy Paul in the quarter-finals at the 2026 ATP Shanghai Masters tournament on Friday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Medvedev vs Paul match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Medvedev-Paul men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives Medvedev a 62% chance of defeating Paul at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.
Medvedev vs Paul: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's ATP Shanghai Masters match between Medvedev and Paul are listed here:
- Head to Head: Medvedev $1.50, Paul $2.62
- First Set: Medvedev $1.57, Paul $2.37
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Medvedev at $1.50 and Paul at $2.62.
TAB currently has odds for Medvedev to win the first set at $1.57 and odds for Paul to win the first set at $2.37.
Medvedev vs Paul: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Paul at $2.62 with TAB
- First Set: Paul at $1.83 with TAB (53% probability)
These Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul betting tips are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Even though our predictive analytics model indicates that Medvedev is more likely to win the match, betting on Paul to win is the best option because of the edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.
And while Medvedev is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Paul ($1.83) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Medvedev vs Paul: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul match at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Medvedev-Paul match at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Medvedev vs Paul: ATP Shanghai Masters Essential Details
The 2026 ATP Shanghai Masters match between Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul is scheduled to begin at 3:00pm AEDT.
- Match: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul
- Date: Friday 16 October 2026
- Approx. Time: 3:00pm AEDT
- Event: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Quarter-finals
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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