Daniel Merida vs Corentin Moutet Prediction - ATP Madrid Open 2026
Last updated: Apr 25, 2026, 5:01PM | Published: Apr 23, 2026, 11:56PM
Daniel Merida will take on Corentin Moutet in the round of 64 at the 2026 ATP Madrid Open tournament on Sunday.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Merida vs Moutet match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Merida-Moutet men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives Moutet a 60% chance of winning against Merida at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Merida vs Moutet: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's ATP Madrid Open match between Merida and Moutet are shown here:
- Head to Head: Merida $2.62, Moutet $1.50
- First Set: Merida $2.50, Moutet $1.53
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Merida at $2.62 and Moutet at $1.50.
TAB currently has odds for Merida to win the first set at $2.50 and odds for Moutet to win the first set at $1.53.
Merida vs Moutet: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Merida at $2.62 with TAB
- First Set: Moutet at $1.72 with TAB (55% probability)
Stats Insider's Daniel Merida vs Corentin Moutet best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Moutet is more likely to win the match, taking Merida to win is our preferred option due to the 1.5% edge we discovered when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Using the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable over the long run.
And while Moutet is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Moutet ($1.72) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Merida vs Moutet: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Daniel Merida vs Corentin Moutet match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Merida-Moutet match at the ATP Madrid Open event.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Merida vs Moutet: ATP Madrid Open Essential Details
The 2026 ATP Madrid Open match between Daniel Merida and Corentin Moutet is scheduled to start at 3:10am AEST.
- Match: Daniel Merida vs Corentin Moutet
- Date: Sunday 26 April 2026
- Approx. Time: 3:10am AEST
- Event: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Daniel Merida vs Corentin Moutet predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on Tennis
Stats Insider is your home for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, tips for every tennis tournament, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

