Cubs vs Pirates Prediction and MLB Tips - 17 August 2025

The Chicago Cubs will sqaure off with the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Wrigley Field on Sunday, starting at 4:20am AEST.

The Cubs will have Shota Imanaga (8-5, 3.19 ERA) start, up against Mike Burrows (1-4, 4.66 ERA) for the Pirates.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Cubs vs Pirates game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Cubs vs Pittsburgh MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Cubs a 66% chance of winning against the Pirates at Wrigley Field.

Cubs vs Pirates: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Wrigley Field are shown here:

• Head to Head: Cubs $1.41, Pirates $2.89
• Line: Cubs -1.5 ($1.92), Pirates +1.5 ($1.90)
• Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Cubs at $1.41 and the Pirates at $2.89.

The Cubs are 1.5-run favourites against the Pirates, with odds of $1.92 available at TAB.

For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.90.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.

Cubs vs Pirates: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.89 with TAB
• Line: Pirates +1.5 at $1.90 with TAB
• Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB

These Cubs vs Pirates best bets are based on detailed modelling and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice every time.

While the Cubs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our preferred option due to the 1.0% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.

Cubs vs Pirates: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Cubs vs Pittsburgh game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.

Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Cubs vs Pittsburgh match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Cubs vs Pirates: Essential Details

The game between the Cubs and Pirates at Wrigley Field is scheduled to start at 4:20am AEST on Sunday.

• Teams: Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates
• Date: Sunday 17 August 2025
• Time: 4:20am AEST
• Venue: Wrigley Field

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Cubs vs Pittsburgh predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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