Cubs vs Pirates Prediction and MLB Tips - 13 September 2026
Last updated: Sep 12, 2026, 6:15PM | Published: Sep 11, 2026, 5:47PM
The Chicago Cubs will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Wrigley Field on Sunday, beginning at 4:20am AEST.
The Cubs will have Clay Holmes (6-7, 2.83 ERA) start, pitting him against Paul Skenes (10-11, 3.83 ERA) for the Pirates.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Cubs vs Pirates game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Cubs vs Pittsburgh MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Cubs a 52% chance of defeating the Pirates at Wrigley Field.
Cubs vs Pirates: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Wrigley Field are listed here:
- Head to Head: Cubs $1.80, Pirates $2.05
- Line: Cubs -1.5 ($2.50), Pirates +1.5 ($1.56)
- Total (Over/Under 9.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Cubs at $1.80 and the Pirates at $2.05.
The Cubs are 1.5-run favourites against the Pirates, with odds of $2.50 available at TAB.
For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.56.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 63% of the time, while the 9.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Cubs vs Pirates: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.05 with TAB
- Line: Pirates +1.5 at $1.56 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 9.5 at $1.91 with TAB
These Cubs vs Pirates betting tips are based on world-class modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Cubs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our preferred option because of the 1.1% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Cubs vs Pirates: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Cubs vs Pittsburgh game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Cubs vs Pittsburgh match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Cubs vs Pirates: Essential Details
The match-up between the Cubs and Pirates at Wrigley Field is scheduled to begin at 4:20am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Sunday 13 September 2026
- Time: 4:20am AEST
- Venue: Wrigley Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Cubs vs Pittsburgh predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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