Cubs vs Pirates Prediction and MLB Tips - 12 April 2026
Last updated: Apr 11, 2026, 6:22PM | Published: Apr 10, 2026, 5:30PM
The Chicago Cubs will face the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Wrigley Field on Sunday, starting at 4:20am AEST.
Edward Cabrera (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will be on the bump for the Cubs, while the Pirates will counter with Braxton Ashcraft (1-1, 2.25 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Cubs vs Pirates game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Cubs vs Pittsburgh MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Cubs a 59% chance of beating the Pirates at Wrigley Field.
Cubs vs Pirates: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Wrigley Field are shown below:
- Head to Head: Cubs $1.67, Pirates $2.25
- Line: Cubs -1.5 ($2.54), Pirates +1.5 ($1.54)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Cubs at $1.67 and the Pirates at $2.25.
The Cubs are 1.5-run favourites against the Pirates, with odds of $2.54 available at TAB.
For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.54.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 6.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 61% of the time, while the 6.5-run over/under is expected to go over 56% of the time.
Cubs vs Pirates: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Cubs at $1.67 with TAB
- Line: Cubs -1.5 at $2.54 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 6.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Cubs vs Pirates best bets are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though the Pirates are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Cubs -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Cubs vs Pirates: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Cubs vs Pittsburgh game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Cubs vs Pittsburgh match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Cubs vs Pirates: Essential Details
The match-up between the Cubs and Pirates at Wrigley Field is scheduled to commence at 4:20am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Sunday 12 April 2026
- Time: 4:20am AEST
- Venue: Wrigley Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Cubs vs Pittsburgh predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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