Cubs vs Pirates Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 April 2026
Last updated: Apr 10, 2026, 6:10PM | Published: Apr 9, 2026, 5:33PM
The Chicago Cubs will sqaure off with the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Wrigley Field on Saturday, starting at 4:20am AEST.
The Cubs will have Shota Imanaga (0-1, 4.50 ERA) start, up against Carmen Mlodzinski (0-0, 4.00 ERA) for the Pirates.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Cubs vs Pirates game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Cubs vs Pittsburgh MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Cubs a 59% chance of defeating the Pirates at Wrigley Field.
Cubs vs Pirates: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Wrigley Field are shown below:
- Head to Head: Cubs $1.67, Pirates $2.25
- Line: Cubs -1.5 ($2.54), Pirates +1.5 ($1.54)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Cubs at $1.67 and the Pirates at $2.25.
The Cubs are 1.5-run favourites against the Pirates, with odds of $2.54 available at TAB.
For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.54.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 6.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 6.5-run over/under is expected to go over 57% of the time.
Cubs vs Pirates: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Cubs at $1.67 with TAB
- Line: Cubs -1.5 at $2.54 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 6.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Cubs vs Pirates predictions are based on market-leading simulations and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
Although the Pirates are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Cubs -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Cubs vs Pirates: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Cubs vs Pittsburgh game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Cubs vs Pittsburgh game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Cubs vs Pirates: Essential Details
The match-up between the Cubs and Pirates at Wrigley Field is scheduled to commence at 4:20am AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Saturday 11 April 2026
- Time: 4:20am AEST
- Venue: Wrigley Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Cubs vs Pittsburgh predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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