Cubs vs Phillies Prediction and MLB Tips - 23 April 2026
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026, 11:40PM | Published: Apr 22, 2026, 5:30AM
The Chicago Cubs will take on the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at Wrigley Field on Thursday, starting at 9:40am AEST.
The Cubs will have Matthew Boyd (1-1, 6.75 ERA) start, pitting him against Kyle Backhus (0-0, 5.40 ERA) for the Phillies.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Cubs vs Phillies game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Cubs vs Philadelphia MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Cubs a 60% chance of winning against the Phillies at Wrigley Field.
Cubs vs Phillies: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Wrigley Field are shown below:
- Head to Head: Cubs $1.53, Phillies $2.60
- Line: Cubs -1.5 ($2.14), Phillies +1.5 ($1.74)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Cubs at $1.53 and the Phillies at $2.60.
The Cubs are 1.5-run favourites against the Phillies, with odds of $2.14 available at TAB.
For the underdog Phillies (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.74.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Phillies (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Cubs vs Phillies: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Philadelphia at $2.60 with TAB
- Line: Phillies +1.5 at $1.74 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Cubs vs Phillies predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Cubs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Phillies to win is our recommended option because of the 3.0% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Cubs vs Phillies: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Cubs vs Philadelphia game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Cubs vs Philadelphia game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Cubs vs Phillies: Essential Details
The game between the Cubs and Phillies at Wrigley Field is scheduled to begin at 9:40am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Thursday 23 April 2026
- Time: 9:40am AEST
- Venue: Wrigley Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Cubs vs Philadelphia predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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