Cowboys vs Storm Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 4, 2026
Last updated: Mar 28, 2026, 8:35AM | Published: Mar 23, 2026, 1:50AM
The Cowboys will sqaure off with the favoured Storm in NRL Round 4 action at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 7:35pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Cowboys vs Storm game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's North Queensland vs Melbourne NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Storm an 80% chance of beating the Cowboys at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.
Cowboys vs Storm: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Queensland Country Bank Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Cowboys $3.75, Storm $1.28
- Line: Cowboys +12.5 ($1.91), Storm -12.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 52.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Cowboys at $3.75 and the Storm at $1.28.
The Cowboys are listed as 12.5-point underdogs against the Storm, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Storm (-12.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 52.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Storm (-12.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 52.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 59% of the time.
Cowboys vs Storm: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.28 with Bet365
- Line: Storm -12.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 52.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across all sports.
Today's Cowboys vs Storm predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Cowboys vs Storm: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Storm at Queensland Country Bank Stadium this Saturday is the Storm winning 30-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Cowboys vs Storm match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Cowboys vs Storm: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Cowboys vs Storm try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Will Warbrick is the most likely player to score the first try in North Queensland vs Melbourne.
Warbrick has a 8.9% chance of scoring the first try at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, while the Storm star has a 55.9% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Murray Taulagi: 6.4% probability
- Braidon Burns: 5.6% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 4.9% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 4.2% probability
- Zac Laybutt: 3.7% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 8.9% probability
- Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown: 7.3% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 6.2% probability
- Harry Grant: 5.4% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 5.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Murray Taulagi: 43.7% probability
- Braidon Burns: 39.2% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 35.7% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 30.1% probability
- Zac Laybutt: 28.2% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 55.9% probability
- Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown: 47.7% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 40.0% probability
- Harry Grant: 40.0% probability
- Moses Leo: 37.2% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Cowboys vs Storm game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Cowboys vs Storm: Essential Details
The NRL Round 4 clash between the Cowboys and Storm at Queensland Country Bank Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:35pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: North Queensland Cowboys vs Melbourne Storm
- Date: Saturday 28 March 2026
- Kick-off: 7:35pm AEDT
- Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Cowboys vs Storm predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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