Cowboys vs Roosters Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 22, 2026
Last updated: Jul 30, 2026, 9:46AM | Published: Jul 27, 2026, 12:40AM
The Cowboys will face the Roosters in NRL Round 22 action at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Thursday, starting at 7:50pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Cowboys vs Roosters game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's North Queensland vs Sydney NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Roosters a 70% chance of winning against the Cowboys in Round 22 of the 2026 NRL season.
Cowboys vs Roosters: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's NRL clash at Queensland Country Bank Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Cowboys $2.45, Roosters $1.52
- Line: Cowboys +5.5 ($1.91), Roosters -5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Cowboys at $2.45 and the Roosters at $1.52.
The Cowboys are listed as 5.5-point underdogs against the Roosters, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Roosters (-5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Roosters (-5.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 44.5-point over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Cowboys vs Roosters: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Roosters at $1.52 with Bet365
- Line: Roosters -5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.
These Cowboys vs Roosters betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and betting expertise to give you the best possible advice every time.
Cowboys vs Roosters: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Roosters at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Thursday is the Roosters winning 26-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Cowboys vs Roosters match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Cowboys vs Roosters: Try Scorers
Searching for Cowboys vs Roosters try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Roosters' Mark Nawaqanitawase is the most likely player to score the first try in North Queensland vs Sydney.
Nawaqanitawase has a 10.1% chance of scoring the first try at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, while the Roosters star has a 51.4% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Braidon Burns: 7.1% probability
- Murray Taulagi: 6.8% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 5.2% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 4.2% probability
- Tom Chester: 3.7% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 10.1% probability
- Tommy Talau: 7.7% probability
- James Tedesco: 7.0% probability
- Robert Toia: 5.1% probability
- Hugo Savala: 4.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Braidon Burns: 41.6% probability
- Murray Taulagi: 40.5% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 33.5% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 29.0% probability
- Zac Laybutt: 23.5% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 51.4% probability
- Tommy Talau: 43.3% probability
- James Tedesco: 40.9% probability
- Robert Toia: 32.3% probability
- Hugo Savala: 31.5% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Cowboys vs Roosters match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Cowboys vs Roosters: Essential Details
The NRL Round 22 clash between the Cowboys and Roosters at Queensland Country Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:50pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: North Queensland Cowboys vs Sydney Roosters
- Date: Thursday 30 July 2026
- Kick-off: 7:50pm AEST
- Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Cowboys vs Roosters predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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