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Cowboys vs Rabbitohs Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 12, 2026

The Cowboys will take on the Rabbitohs in NRL Round 12 action at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 4:05pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Cowboys vs Rabbitohs game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's North Queensland vs South Sydney NRL match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Cowboys a 66% chance of winning against the Rabbitohs in Round 12 of the 2026 NRL season.

Cowboys vs Rabbitohs: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Queensland Country Bank Stadium are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Cowboys $1.50, Rabbitohs $2.45
  • Line: Cowboys -4.5 ($1.91), Rabbitohs +4.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 53.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Cowboys at $1.50 and the Rabbitohs at $2.45.

The Cowboys are listed as 4.5-point favourites against the Rabbitohs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Rabbitohs (+4.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 53.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cowboys (-4.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 53.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 57% of the time.

Cowboys vs Rabbitohs: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Cowboys at $1.50 with Bet365
  • Line: Cowboys -4.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 53.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets of the day across all sports.

These Cowboys vs Rabbitohs betting tips are based on complex modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

Cowboys vs Rabbitohs: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Rabbitohs at Queensland Country Bank Stadium this Sunday is the Cowboys winning 27-21.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Cowboys vs Souths match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Cowboys vs Rabbitohs: Try Scorers

Searching for Cowboys vs Rabbitohs try scorers? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, the Rabbitohs' Alex Johnston is the most likely player to score the first try in North Queensland vs South Sydney.

Johnston has a 11.1% chance of scoring the first try at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, while the Rabbitohs star has a 62.3% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.

Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.

First Try Scorer Tips

North Queensland Cowboys

  • Robert Derby: 7.3% probability
  • Jaxon Purdue: 7.1% probability
  • Scott Drinkwater: 6.3% probability
  • Zac Laybutt: 5.9% probability
  • Tom Chester: 4.2% probability

South Sydney Rabbitohs

  • Alex Johnston: 11.1% probability
  • Talanoa Penitani: 5.4% probability
  • Tallis Duncan: 4.5% probability
  • Cody Walker: 3.9% probability
  • Jye Gray: 3.8% probability

Anytime Try Scorer Tips

North Queensland Cowboys

  • Jaxon Purdue: 46.5% probability
  • Robert Derby: 44.9% probability
  • Scott Drinkwater: 44.5% probability
  • Zac Laybutt: 41.7% probability
  • Tom Chester: 31.8% probability

South Sydney Rabbitohs

  • Alex Johnston: 62.3% probability
  • Talanoa Penitani: 36.4% probability
  • Tallis Duncan: 31.5% probability
  • Cody Walker: 30.2% probability
  • Jye Gray: 30.0% probability

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Cowboys vs Rabbitohs match.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Cowboys vs Rabbitohs: Essential Details

The NRL Round 12 clash between the Cowboys and Rabbitohs at Queensland Country Bank Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:05pm AEST on Sunday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Cowboys vs Souths predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.

More on the NRL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, tips for every NRL game, and futures probabilities for the NRL.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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