Cowboys vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 21, 2025
Last updated: Jul 22, 2025, 6:15AM | Published: Jul 20, 2025, 11:30PM
The Cowboys will face the Dragons in NRL Round 21 action at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Friday, commencing at 6:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Cowboys vs Dragons game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's North Queensland vs St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Cowboys a 67% chance of winning against the Dragons in Round 21 of the 2025 NRL season.
Cowboys vs Dragons: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Queensland Country Bank Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Cowboys $1.56, Dragons $2.45
- Line: Cowboys -4.5 ($1.91), Dragons +4.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Cowboys at $1.56 and the Dragons at $2.45.
The Cowboys are 4.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dragons (+4.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Cowboys (-4.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 48.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Cowboys vs Dragons: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Cowboys at $1.56 with Bet365
- Line: Cowboys -4.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Cowboys vs Dragons predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Cowboys vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Dragons at Queensland Country Bank Stadium this Friday is the Cowboys winning 25-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Cowboys vs St George match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Cowboys vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Searching for Cowboys vs Dragons try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Dragons' Tyrell Sloan is the most likely player to score the first try in North Queensland vs St George Illawarra.
Sloan has a 7.9% chance of scoring the first try at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, while the Dragons star has a 45.9% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Braidon Burns: 7.8% probability
- Robert Derby: 6.6% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 6.3% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 5.8% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 5.3% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 7.9% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 6.0% probability
- Corey Allan: 5.2% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 4.6% probability
- Jaydn Su'A: 3.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Braidon Burns: 47.0% probability
- Robert Derby: 41.5% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 41.4% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 39.2% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 36.6% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 45.9% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 38.6% probability
- Corey Allan: 33.9% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 33.5% probability
- Jaydn Su'A: 26.2% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Cowboys vs Dragons match.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Cowboys vs Dragons: Essential Details
The NRL Round 21 clash between the Cowboys and Dragons at Queensland Country Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: North Queensland Cowboys vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Friday 25 July 2025
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST
- Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Cowboys vs St George predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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