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Cowboys vs Dolphins Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 14, 2026

The Cowboys will face the favoured Dolphins in NRL Round 14 action at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 5:30pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Cowboys vs Dolphins game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's North Queensland vs Dolphins NRL match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Dolphins a 69% chance of defeating the Cowboys at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.

Cowboys vs Dolphins: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Queensland Country Bank Stadium are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Cowboys $2.60, Dolphins $1.46
  • Line: Cowboys +5.5 ($1.91), Dolphins -5.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 54.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Cowboys at $2.60 and the Dolphins at $1.46.

The Cowboys are listed as 5.5-point underdogs against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Dolphins (-5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 54.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dolphins (-5.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 54.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 60% of the time.

Cowboys vs Dolphins: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Dolphins at $1.46 with Bet365
  • Line: Dolphins -5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 54.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.

These Cowboys vs Dolphins betting tips are based on complex modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

Cowboys vs Dolphins: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Dolphins at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday is the Dolphins winning 28-20.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Cowboys vs Dolphins match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Cowboys vs Dolphins: Try Scorers

Searching for Cowboys vs Dolphins try scorers? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, the Dolphins' Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow is the most likely player to score the first try in North Queensland vs Dolphins.

Tabuai-Fidow has a 8.9% chance of scoring the first try at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, while the Dolphins star has a 56.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.

Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.

First Try Scorer Tips

North Queensland Cowboys

  • Murray Taulagi: 7.8% probability
  • Jaxon Purdue: 5.5% probability
  • Scott Drinkwater: 5.1% probability
  • Zac Laybutt: 5.0% probability
  • Heilum Luki: 3.9% probability

Dolphins

  • Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 8.9% probability
  • Jamayne Isaako: 8.0% probability
  • Selwyn Cobbo: 7.3% probability
  • Herbie Farnworth: 7.0% probability
  • Jack Bostock: 5.1% probability

Anytime Try Scorer Tips

North Queensland Cowboys

  • Murray Taulagi: 53.0% probability
  • Jaxon Purdue: 39.9% probability
  • Scott Drinkwater: 37.9% probability
  • Zac Laybutt: 36.4% probability
  • Heilum Luki: 30.2% probability

Dolphins

  • Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 56.6% probability
  • Jamayne Isaako: 50.9% probability
  • Selwyn Cobbo: 49.2% probability
  • Herbie Farnworth: 45.6% probability
  • Jack Bostock: 37.9% probability

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Cowboys vs Dolphins match.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Cowboys vs Dolphins: Essential Details

The NRL Round 14 clash between the Cowboys and Dolphins at Queensland Country Bank Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:30pm AEST on Saturday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Cowboys vs Dolphins predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our NRL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.

More on the NRL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, predictions for every NRL game, and futures odds for the NRL.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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