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Cowboys vs Chiefs Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 13, 2025

The Dallas Cowboys will take on the Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 13 action at AT&T Stadium on Friday, beginning at 8:30am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Cowboys vs Chiefs game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Dallas vs Kansas City NFL game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs a 59% chance of beating the Cowboys in Week 13 of the NFL season.

Cowboys vs Chiefs: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at AT&T Stadium are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Cowboys $2.55, Chiefs $1.54
  • Line: Cowboys +3 ($1.91), Chiefs -3 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 53.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Cowboys at $2.55 and the Chiefs at $1.54.

The Cowboys are listed as 3-point underdogs against the Chiefs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Chiefs (-3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 53.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Cowboys (+3) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 53.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Cowboys vs Chiefs: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Dallas at $2.55 with Bet365
  • Line: Cowboys +3 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 53.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Stats Insider's Cowboys vs Chiefs betting tips are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Chiefs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cowboys to win is our preferred option because of the 1.8% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.

Cowboys vs Chiefs: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Chiefs at AT&T Stadium in Week 13 is the Chiefs prevailing 28-25.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Dallas vs Kansas City game in Week 13, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Cowboys vs Chiefs prediction.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Cowboys vs Chiefs: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Cowboys vs Chiefs? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Dallas' Javonte Williams is the most likely player to score the first TD in Cowboys vs Chiefs.

Williams has an 11.6% chance of scoring the first TD at AT&T Stadium, while the Cowboys RB has a 53.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Cowboys First TD Tips

  • Javonte Williams: 11.6% probability
  • CeeDee Lamb: 7.8% probability
  • George Pickens: 7.6% probability
  • Jake Ferguson: 5.4% probability
  • Dak Prescott: 2.1% probability

Chiefs First TD Tips

  • Rashee Rice: 10.3% probability
  • Kareem Hunt: 8.0% probability
  • Travis Kelce: 7.0% probability
  • Xavier Worthy: 5.4% probability
  • Isiah Pacheco: 4.7% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Cowboys Anytime TD Tips

  • Javonte Williams: 53.0% probability
  • CeeDee Lamb: 39.6% probability
  • George Pickens: 39.0% probability
  • Jake Ferguson: 29.5% probability
  • Dak Prescott: 12.7% probability

Chiefs Anytime TD Tips

  • Rashee Rice: 49.2% probability
  • Kareem Hunt: 41.1% probability
  • Travis Kelce: 36.9% probability
  • Xavier Worthy: 29.9% probability
  • Isiah Pacheco: 26.8% probability

Cowboys-Chiefs Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is projected for 275 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for 285 yards.

Cowboys Starting QB

  • Dak Prescott: 275 projected passing yards

Chiefs Starting QB

  • Patrick Mahomes: 285 projected passing yards

Cowboys Rushing Yards

  • Javonte Williams: 69 projected yards
  • Dak Prescott: 14 projected yards
  • Malik Davis: 11 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing Yards

  • Kareem Hunt: 38 projected yards
  • Isiah Pacheco: 34 projected yards
  • Patrick Mahomes: 27 projected yards

Cowboys Receiving Yards

  • CeeDee Lamb: 86 projected yards
  • George Pickens: 77 projected yards
  • Jake Ferguson: 42 projected yards
  • KaVontae Turpin: 22 projected yards
  • Ryan Flournoy: 15 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving Yards

  • Rashee Rice: 81 projected yards
  • Travis Kelce: 57 projected yards
  • Xavier Worthy: 46 projected yards
  • Hollywood Brown: 25 projected yards
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster: 17 projected yards

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Dallas vs Kansas City game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Cowboys vs Chiefs: Week 13 Essential Details

The NFL Week 13 game between the Cowboys and Chiefs at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:30am AEDT on Friday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Dallas vs Kansas City predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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