Cowboys vs Broncos Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 26, 2025
Last updated: Aug 30, 2025, 9:35AM | Published: Aug 24, 2025, 11:30PM
The Cowboys will take on the Broncos in NRL Round 26 action at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Cowboys vs Broncos game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's North Queensland vs Brisbane NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Broncos a 67% chance of beating the Cowboys at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.
Cowboys vs Broncos: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Queensland Country Bank Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Cowboys $2.60, Broncos $1.52
- Line: Cowboys +5.5 ($1.91), Broncos -5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 51.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Cowboys at $2.60 and the Broncos at $1.52.
The Cowboys are listed as 5.5-point underdogs against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Broncos (-5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 51.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Broncos (-5.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 51.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Cowboys vs Broncos: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Broncos at $1.52 with Bet365
- Line: Broncos -5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 51.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Cowboys vs Broncos betting tips are based on complex modelling and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Cowboys vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Broncos at Queensland Country Bank Stadium this Saturday is the Broncos winning 27-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Cowboys vs Broncos match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Cowboys vs Broncos: Try Scorers
Looking for Cowboys vs Broncos try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Broncos' Deine Mariner is the most likely player to score the first try in North Queensland vs Brisbane.
Mariner has a 9.3% chance of scoring the first try at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, while the Broncos star has a 56.0% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Braidon Burns: 6.8% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 5.8% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 5.7% probability
- Semi Valemei: 5.4% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 4.9% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 9.3% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 7.5% probability
- Reece Walsh: 7.2% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 5.8% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 5.5% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Braidon Burns: 44.7% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 40.3% probability
- Semi Valemei: 39.4% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 39.0% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 34.3% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 56.0% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 47.1% probability
- Reece Walsh: 46.2% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 41.0% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 39.2% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Cowboys vs Broncos match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Cowboys vs Broncos: Essential Details
The NRL Round 26 clash between the Cowboys and Broncos at Queensland Country Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: North Queensland Cowboys vs Brisbane Broncos
- Date: Saturday 30 August 2025
- Kick-off: 7:35pm AEST
- Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Cowboys vs Broncos predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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