Cowboys vs Broncos Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 21, 2026
Last updated: Jul 21, 2026, 7:33PM | Published: Jul 19, 2026, 11:05PM
The Cowboys will face the Broncos in NRL Round 21 action at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Cowboys vs Broncos game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's North Queensland vs Brisbane NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Broncos a 55% chance of beating the Cowboys in Round 21 of the 2026 NRL season.
Cowboys vs Broncos: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Queensland Country Bank Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Cowboys $2.15, Broncos $1.64
- Line: Cowboys +2.5 ($1.91), Broncos -2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Cowboys at $2.15 and the Broncos at $1.64.
The Cowboys are 2.5-point underdogs against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Broncos (-2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Cowboys (+2.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 48.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Cowboys vs Broncos: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Cowboys at $2.15 with Bet365
- Line: Cowboys +2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.
Our Cowboys vs Broncos predictions are based on detailed modelling and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Broncos have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cowboys to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Cowboys vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Broncos at Queensland Country Bank Stadium this Saturday is the Broncos winning 23-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Cowboys vs Broncos match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Cowboys vs Broncos: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Cowboys vs Broncos try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Broncos' Deine Mariner is the most likely player to score the first try in North Queensland vs Brisbane.
Mariner has a 7.7% chance of scoring the first try at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, while the Broncos star has a 48.0% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Braidon Burns: 7.4% probability
- Murray Taulagi: 7.3% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 5.3% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 4.6% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 4.5% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 7.7% probability
- Reece Walsh: 6.4% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 6.1% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 5.8% probability
- Ezra Mam: 5.0% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Murray Taulagi: 43.0% probability
- Braidon Burns: 42.7% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 36.8% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 31.6% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 30.6% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 48.0% probability
- Reece Walsh: 41.4% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 39.7% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 38.8% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 33.1% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Cowboys vs Broncos game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Cowboys vs Broncos: Essential Details
The NRL Round 21 clash between the Cowboys and Broncos at Queensland Country Bank Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: North Queensland Cowboys vs Brisbane Broncos
- Date: Saturday 25 July 2026
- Kick-off: 7:35pm AEST
- Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Cowboys vs Broncos predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
More on the NRL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, predictions for every NRL game, and futures odds for the NRL.
