Cowboys vs Broncos Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 21, 2026
Last updated: Jul 25, 2026, 9:33AM | Published: Jul 19, 2026, 11:05PM
The Cowboys will take on the Broncos in NRL Round 21 action at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday, with kick-off at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Cowboys vs Broncos game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's North Queensland vs Brisbane NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Broncos a 56% chance of beating the Cowboys in Round 21 of the 2026 NRL season.
Cowboys vs Broncos: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Queensland Country Bank Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Cowboys $2.40, Broncos $1.52
- Line: Cowboys +5.5 ($1.91), Broncos -5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Cowboys at $2.40 and the Broncos at $1.52.
The Cowboys are 5.5-point underdogs against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Broncos (-5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cowboys (+5.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 48.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 59% of the time.
Cowboys vs Broncos: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Cowboys at $2.40 with Bet365
- Line: Cowboys +5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Cowboys vs Broncos betting tips are based on world-class modelling and wagering experience to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Broncos have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cowboys to win is our recommended option because of the 2.5% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Cowboys vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Broncos at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday is the Broncos prevailing 23-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Cowboys vs Broncos match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Cowboys vs Broncos: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Cowboys vs Broncos try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Broncos' Deine Mariner is the most likely player to score the first try in North Queensland vs Brisbane.
Mariner has a 8.1% chance of scoring the first try at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, while the Broncos star has a 49.0% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Braidon Burns: 7.4% probability
- Murray Taulagi: 7.4% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 5.6% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 4.6% probability
- Tom Chester: 3.8% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 8.1% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 6.4% probability
- Reece Walsh: 6.3% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 6.0% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 5.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Braidon Burns: 43.5% probability
- Murray Taulagi: 43.4% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 36.7% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 30.2% probability
- Zac Laybutt: 25.8% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 49.0% probability
- Reece Walsh: 40.9% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 40.2% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 37.8% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 33.0% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Cowboys vs Broncos game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Cowboys vs Broncos: Essential Details
The NRL Round 21 clash between the Cowboys and Broncos at Queensland Country Bank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: North Queensland Cowboys vs Brisbane Broncos
- Date: Saturday 25 July 2026
- Kick-off: 7:35pm AEST
- Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Cowboys vs Broncos predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NRL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
More on the NRL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, tips for every NRL game, and futures odds for the NRL.
