Commanders vs Raiders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 3, 2025
Last updated: Sep 18, 2025, 4:12AM | Published: Sep 17, 2025, 8:23PM
The Washington Commanders will take on the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 3 action at Northwest Stadium on Monday, commencing at 3:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Commanders vs Raiders game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Washington vs Las Vegas NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Commanders a 63% chance of winning against the Raiders in Week 3 of the NFL season.
Commanders vs Raiders: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Northwest Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Commanders $1.56, Raiders $2.50
- Line: Commanders -3.5 ($1.91), Raiders +3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Commanders at $1.56 and the Raiders at $2.50.
The Commanders are listed as 3.5-point favourites against the Raiders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Raiders (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Raiders (+3.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 44-point over/under is expected to go over 57% of the time.
Commanders vs Raiders: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Washington at $1.56 with Bet365
- Line: Raiders +3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 44 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.
These Commanders vs Raiders betting tips are based on complex simulations and gambling experience to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Commanders vs Raiders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs Raiders at Northwest Stadium in Week 3 is the Commanders winning 24-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Washington vs Las Vegas game in Week 3, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Commanders vs Raiders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs Raiders? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Las Vegas' Ashton Jeanty is the most likely player to score the first TD in Commanders vs Raiders.
Jeanty has a 13.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Northwest Stadium, while the Raiders RB has a 48.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders First TD Tips
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 10.7% probability
- Jayden Daniels: 7.7% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 7.5% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 7.4% probability
- Jeremy McNichols: 5.5% probability
Raiders First TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 13.5% probability
- Brock Bowers: 9.2% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 6.6% probability
- Dont'e Thornton: 4.1% probability
- Zamir White: 3.2% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 46.8% probability
- Jayden Daniels: 36.6% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 35.9% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 35.6% probability
- Jeremy McNichols: 27.7% probability
Raiders Anytime TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 48.8% probability
- Brock Bowers: 36.7% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 27.8% probability
- Dont'e Thornton: 18.2% probability
- Zamir White: 14.6% probability
Commanders-Raiders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected for 228 passing yards, while the Raiders' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 250 yards.
Commanders Starting QB
- Jayden Daniels: 228 projected passing yards
Raiders Starting QB
- Geno Smith: 250 projected passing yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 63 projected yards
- Jayden Daniels: 47 projected yards
- Jeremy McNichols: 20 projected yards
Raiders Rushing Yards
- Ashton Jeanty: 67 projected yards
- Zamir White: 12 projected yards
- Geno Smith: 11 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 61 projected yards
- Deebo Samuel: 51 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 36 projected yards
- Noah Brown: 22 projected yards
- Jaylin Lane: 18 projected yards
Raiders Receiving Yards
- Jakobi Meyers: 64 projected yards
- Brock Bowers: 60 projected yards
- Dont'e Thornton: 34 projected yards
- Tre Tucker: 25 projected yards
- Michael Mayer: 17 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Washington vs Las Vegas match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Commanders vs Raiders: Week 3 Essential Details
The NFL Week 3 match-up between the Commanders and Raiders at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Washington Commanders vs Las Vegas Raiders
- Date: Monday 22 September 2025
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: Northwest Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Washington vs Las Vegas predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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