Commanders vs Raiders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 3, 2025

The Washington Commanders will face the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 3 action at Northwest Stadium on Monday, commencing at 3:00am AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Commanders vs Raiders game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Washington vs Las Vegas NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Commanders a 63% chance of winning against the Raiders in Week 3 of the NFL season.

Commanders vs Raiders: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Northwest Stadium are listed below:

• Head to Head: Commanders $1.67, Raiders $2.25
• Line: Commanders -3 ($1.91), Raiders +3 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 44 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Commanders at $1.67 and the Raiders at $2.25.

The Commanders are 3-point favourites against the Raiders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Raiders (+3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 44 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Commanders and the Raiders have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 44-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.

Commanders vs Raiders: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Washington at $1.67 with Bet365
• Line: Raiders +3 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Over 44 at $1.91 with Bet365

Our Commanders vs Raiders predictions are based on complex modelling and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice around the clock.

Commanders vs Raiders: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs Raiders at Northwest Stadium in Week 3 is the Commanders winning 23-20.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Washington vs Las Vegas game in Week 3, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Commanders vs Raiders prediction.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Commanders vs Raiders: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs Raiders? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Las Vegas' Ashton Jeanty is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs Raiders.

Jeanty has a 13.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Northwest Stadium, while the Raiders RB has a 48.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Commanders First TD Tips

• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 10.7% probability
• Deebo Samuel: 7.8% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 7.5% probability
• Zach Ertz: 5.4% probability
• Marcus Mariota: 5.0% probability

Raiders First TD Tips

• Ashton Jeanty: 13.7% probability
• Brock Bowers: 7.4% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 7.1% probability
• Dont'e Thornton: 3.9% probability
• Tre Tucker: 3.4% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Commanders Anytime TD Tips

• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 42.5% probability
• Deebo Samuel: 33.2% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 32.1% probability
• Zach Ertz: 24.6% probability
• Marcus Mariota: 22.9% probability

Raiders Anytime TD Tips

• Ashton Jeanty: 48.8% probability
• Brock Bowers: 30.3% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 29.1% probability
• Dont'e Thornton: 17.1% probability
• Tre Tucker: 15.4% probability

Commanders-Raiders Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Marcus Mariota is projected for 221 passing yards, while the Raiders' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 253 yards.

Commanders Starting QB

• Marcus Mariota: 221 projected passing yards

Raiders Starting QB

• Geno Smith: 253 projected passing yards

Commanders Rushing Yards

• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 58 projected yards
• Marcus Mariota: 33 projected yards
• Chris Rodriguez: 27 projected yards

Raiders Rushing Yards

• Ashton Jeanty: 65 projected yards
• Geno Smith: 15 projected yards
• Zamir White: 14 projected yards

Commanders Receiving Yards

• Terry McLaurin: 55 projected yards
• Deebo Samuel: 52 projected yards
• Zach Ertz: 38 projected yards
• Jaylin Lane: 25 projected yards
• Jeremy McNichols: 12 projected yards

Raiders Receiving Yards

• Jakobi Meyers: 68 projected yards
• Brock Bowers: 60 projected yards
• Tre Tucker: 33 projected yards
• Dont'e Thornton: 32 projected yards
• Michael Mayer: 18 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Washington vs Las Vegas match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Commanders vs Raiders: Week 3 Essential Details

The NFL Week 3 game between the Commanders and Raiders at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:00am AEST on Monday.

• Teams: Washington Commanders vs Las Vegas Raiders
• Date: Monday 22 September 2025
• Time: 3:00am AEST
• Venue: Northwest Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Washington vs Las Vegas predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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