Commanders vs Lions Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 10, 2025
Last updated: Nov 9, 2025, 9:25PM | Published: Nov 2, 2025, 4:01AM
The Washington Commanders will take on the favoured Detroit Lions in NFL Week 10 action at Northwest Stadium on Monday, beginning at 8:25am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Commanders vs Lions game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Washington vs Detroit NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 69% chance of winning against the Commanders at Northwest Stadium.
Commanders vs Lions: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Northwest Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Commanders $4.50, Lions $1.22
- Line: Commanders +8 ($1.91), Lions -8 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 49 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Commanders at $4.50 and the Lions at $1.22.
The Commanders are 8-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Lions (-8) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 49 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Commanders (+8) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 49-point over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Commanders vs Lions: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Washington at $4.50 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders +8 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 49 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
Our Commanders vs Lions betting tips are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our preferred option due to the 8.5% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Commanders vs Lions: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs Lions at Northwest Stadium in Week 10 is the Lions winning 27-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Washington vs Detroit game in Week 10, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Commanders vs Lions prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Commanders vs Lions: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs Lions? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Detroit's Jahmyr Gibbs is the most likely player to score the first TD in Commanders vs Lions.
Gibbs has a 13.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Northwest Stadium, while the Lions RB has a 58.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders First TD Tips
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 6.9% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 6.5% probability
- Zach Ertz: 5.9% probability
- Chris Rodriguez: 3.7% probability
- Marcus Mariota: 3.6% probability
Lions First TD Tips
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 13.1% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 11.5% probability
- David Montgomery: 9.1% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 6.8% probability
- Jameson Williams: 6.1% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 33.4% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 31.8% probability
- Zach Ertz: 29.5% probability
- Chris Rodriguez: 19.5% probability
- Marcus Mariota: 19.3% probability
Lions Anytime TD Tips
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 58.5% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 53.7% probability
- David Montgomery: 45.6% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 36.6% probability
- Jameson Williams: 33.7% probability
Commanders-Lions Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Marcus Mariota is projected for 217 passing yards. The Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for 249 yards.
Commanders Starting QB
- Marcus Mariota: 217 projected passing yards
Lions Starting QB
- Jared Goff: 249 projected passing yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 40 projected yards
- Marcus Mariota: 32 projected yards
- Chris Rodriguez: 29 projected yards
Lions Rushing Yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 77 projected yards
- David Montgomery: 51 projected yards
- Jared Goff: 5 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Deebo Samuel: 59 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 39 projected yards
- Jaylin Lane: 34 projected yards
- Chris Moore: 25 projected yards
- Treylon Burks: 16 projected yards
Lions Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 87 projected yards
- Jameson Williams: 51 projected yards
- Sam LaPorta: 48 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 26 projected yards
- Kalif Raymond: 15 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Washington vs Detroit match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Commanders vs Lions: Week 10 Essential Details
The NFL Week 10 match-up between the Commanders and Lions at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions
- Date: Monday 10 November 2025
- Time: 8:25am AEDT
- Venue: Northwest Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Washington vs Detroit predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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