Commanders vs Eagles Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 16, 2025
Last updated: Dec 20, 2025, 9:55PM | Published: Dec 13, 2025, 5:01AM
The Washington Commanders will take on the favoured Philadelphia Eagles in NFL Week 16 action at Northwest Stadium on Sunday, starting at 9:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Commanders vs Eagles game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Washington vs Philadelphia NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Eagles a 70% chance of winning against the Commanders in Week 16 of the NFL season.
Commanders vs Eagles: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NFL game at Northwest Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Commanders $3.75, Eagles $1.28
- Line: Commanders +7 ($1.91), Eagles -7 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Commanders at $3.75 and the Eagles at $1.28.
The Commanders are listed as 7-point underdogs against the Eagles, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Eagles (-7) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Commanders (+7) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 43.5-point over/under is expected to go over 59% of the time.
Commanders vs Eagles: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Washington at $3.75 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders +7 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 43.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across all sports.
Today's Commanders vs Eagles best bets are based on detailed modelling and betting experience to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Eagles have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our preferred option due to the 3.1% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Commanders vs Eagles: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs Eagles at Northwest Stadium in Week 16 is the Eagles winning 25-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Washington vs Philadelphia game in Week 16, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Commanders vs Eagles prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Commanders vs Eagles: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs Eagles? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Philadelphia's Saquon Barkley is the most likely player to score the first TD in Commanders vs Eagles.
Barkley has an 11.5% chance of getting in for six first at Northwest Stadium, while the Eagles RB has a 48.1% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders First TD Tips
- Chris Rodriguez: 7.5% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 6.5% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 5.6% probability
- Marcus Mariota: 4.4% probability
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 4.0% probability
Eagles First TD Tips
- Saquon Barkley: 11.5% probability
- Jalen Hurts: 10.0% probability
- A.J. Brown: 9.4% probability
- DeVonta Smith: 7.3% probability
- Dallas Goedert: 7.1% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Chris Rodriguez: 33.5% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 30.1% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 26.3% probability
- Marcus Mariota: 21.2% probability
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 19.5% probability
Eagles Anytime TD Tips
- Saquon Barkley: 48.1% probability
- Jalen Hurts: 43.4% probability
- A.J. Brown: 41.6% probability
- DeVonta Smith: 33.9% probability
- Dallas Goedert: 33.2% probability
Commanders-Eagles Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Marcus Mariota is projected for 204 passing yards. The Eagles' Jalen Hurts is expected to throw for 225 yards.
Commanders Starting QB
- Marcus Mariota: 204 projected passing yards
Eagles Starting QB
- Jalen Hurts: 225 projected passing yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Chris Rodriguez: 46 projected yards
- Marcus Mariota: 36 projected yards
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 29 projected yards
Eagles Rushing Yards
- Saquon Barkley: 84 projected yards
- Jalen Hurts: 34 projected yards
- Tank Bigsby: 16 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 58 projected yards
- Deebo Samuel: 48 projected yards
- Treylon Burks: 19 projected yards
- Ben Sinnott: 18 projected yards
- Jaylin Lane: 17 projected yards
Eagles Receiving Yards
- A.J. Brown: 68 projected yards
- DeVonta Smith: 63 projected yards
- Dallas Goedert: 43 projected yards
- Saquon Barkley: 19 projected yards
- Jahan Dotson: 15 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Washington vs Philadelphia match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Commanders vs Eagles: Week 16 Essential Details
The NFL Week 16 match-up between the Commanders and Eagles at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to begin at 9:00am AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles
- Date: Sunday 21 December 2025
- Time: 9:00am AEDT
- Venue: Northwest Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Washington vs Philadelphia predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, tips for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.
