Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 17, 2025
Last updated: Dec 25, 2025, 6:01PM | Published: Dec 18, 2025, 5:00AM
The Washington Commanders will sqaure off with the favoured Dallas Cowboys in NFL Week 17 action at Northwest Stadium on Friday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Commanders vs Cowboys game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Washington vs Dallas NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Cowboys a 72% chance of defeating the Commanders in Week 17 of the NFL season.
Commanders vs Cowboys: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at Northwest Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Commanders $4.25, Cowboys $1.24
- Line: Commanders +8.5 ($1.91), Cowboys -8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Commanders at $4.25 and the Cowboys at $1.24.
The Commanders are listed as 8.5-point underdogs against the Cowboys, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Cowboys (-8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Commanders (+8.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 50.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Commanders vs Cowboys: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Washington at $4.25 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders +8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
These Commanders vs Cowboys betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice every time.
While the Cowboys have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our preferred option due to the 4.0% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Commanders vs Cowboys: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs Cowboys at Northwest Stadium in Week 17 is the Cowboys prevailing 28-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Washington vs Dallas game in Week 17, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Commanders vs Cowboys prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Commanders vs Cowboys: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs Cowboys? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Dallas' Javonte Williams is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs Cowboys.
Williams has a 13.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Northwest Stadium, while the Cowboys RB has a 53.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders First TD Tips
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 9.0% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 6.5% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 5.7% probability
- Jeremy McNichols: 4.5% probability
- Treylon Burks: 3.9% probability
Cowboys First TD Tips
- Javonte Williams: 13.4% probability
- CeeDee Lamb: 9.8% probability
- George Pickens: 9.3% probability
- Jake Ferguson: 7.3% probability
- Malik Davis: 4.9% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 41.7% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 32.1% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 28.6% probability
- Jeremy McNichols: 23.4% probability
- Treylon Burks: 20.7% probability
Cowboys Anytime TD Tips
- Javonte Williams: 53.5% probability
- CeeDee Lamb: 42.8% probability
- George Pickens: 41.2% probability
- Jake Ferguson: 34.3% probability
- Malik Davis: 24.4% probability
Commanders-Cowboys Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Josh Johnson is projected for 177 passing yards. The Cowboys' Dak Prescott is expected to throw for 282 yards.
Commanders Starting QB
- Josh Johnson: 177 projected passing yards
Cowboys Starting QB
- Dak Prescott: 282 projected passing yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 66 projected yards
- Jeremy McNichols: 27 projected yards
- Josh Johnson: 18 projected yards
Cowboys Rushing Yards
- Javonte Williams: 77 projected yards
- Malik Davis: 25 projected yards
- Dak Prescott: 11 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 57 projected yards
- Deebo Samuel: 50 projected yards
- Treylon Burks: 31 projected yards
- Ben Sinnott: 20 projected yards
- Jeremy McNichols: 14 projected yards
Cowboys Receiving Yards
- CeeDee Lamb: 86 projected yards
- George Pickens: 83 projected yards
- Jake Ferguson: 43 projected yards
- KaVontae Turpin: 24 projected yards
- Javonte Williams: 14 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Washington vs Dallas match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Commanders vs Cowboys: Week 17 Essential Details
The NFL Week 17 game between the Commanders and Cowboys at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys
- Date: Friday 26 December 2025
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Northwest Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Washington vs Dallas predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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