Commanders vs Colts Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2026
Last updated: Oct 4, 2026, 1:31PM | Published: Sep 27, 2026, 4:00AM
The Washington Commanders will sqaure off with the favoured Indianapolis Colts in NFL Week 4 action at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Monday, commencing at 12:30am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Commanders vs Colts game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Washington vs Indianapolis NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Colts a 67% chance of winning against the Commanders in Week 4 of the NFL season.
Commanders vs Colts: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Commanders $2.85, Colts $1.44
- Line: Commanders +4.5 ($1.91), Colts -4.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Commanders at $2.85 and the Colts at $1.44.
The Commanders are 4.5-point underdogs against the Colts, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Colts (-4.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Colts (-4.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 46.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Commanders vs Colts: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Washington at $2.85 with Bet365
- Line: Colts -4.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Commanders vs Colts betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting experience to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Colts have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Commanders vs Colts: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs Colts at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in Week 4 is the Colts prevailing 25-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Washington vs Indianapolis game in Week 4, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Commanders vs Colts: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs Colts? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is the most likely player to score the first TD in Commanders vs Colts.
Taylor has a 20.2% chance of scoring the first TD at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, while the Colts RB has a 67.0% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders First TD Tips
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 12.3% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 6.3% probability
- Chig Okonkwo: 4.0% probability
- Marcus Mariota: 3.6% probability
- Antonio Williams: 3.5% probability
Colts First TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 20.2% probability
- Tyler Warren: 8.2% probability
- Josh Downs: 7.8% probability
- Laquon Treadwell: 4.2% probability
- Daniel Jones: 3.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 49.0% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 29.3% probability
- Chig Okonkwo: 19.8% probability
- Marcus Mariota: 18.1% probability
- Antonio Williams: 17.4% probability
Colts Anytime TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 67.0% probability
- Tyler Warren: 36.1% probability
- Josh Downs: 34.8% probability
- Laquon Treadwell: 20.7% probability
- Daniel Jones: 15.1% probability
Commanders-Colts Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Marcus Mariota is projected for 214 passing yards. The Colts' Daniel Jones is expected to throw for 228 yards.
Commanders Starting QB
- Marcus Mariota: 214 projected passing yards
Colts Starting QB
- Daniel Jones: 228 projected passing yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 58 projected yards
- Marcus Mariota: 31 projected yards
- Kaytron Allen: 18 projected yards
Colts Rushing Yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 94 projected yards
- Daniel Jones: 14 projected yards
- Seth McGowan: 12 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Stefon Diggs: 62 projected yards
- Antonio Williams: 36 projected yards
- Chig Okonkwo: 34 projected yards
- Treylon Burks: 25 projected yards
- Dyami Brown: 19 projected yards
Colts Receiving Yards
- Josh Downs: 76 projected yards
- Tyler Warren: 58 projected yards
- Laquon Treadwell: 32 projected yards
- Ashton Dulin: 25 projected yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 22 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Washington vs Indianapolis game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Commanders vs Colts: Week 4 Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 match-up between the Commanders and Colts at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:30am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts
- Date: Monday 5 October 2026
- Time: 12:30am AEDT
- Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Washington vs Indianapolis predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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