Commanders vs Broncos Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 13, 2025
Last updated: Dec 1, 2025, 1:21AM | Published: Nov 24, 2025, 7:11AM
The Washington Commanders will sqaure off with the favoured Denver Broncos in NFL Week 13 action at Northwest Stadium on Monday, commencing at 12:20pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Commanders vs Broncos game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Washington vs Denver NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Broncos a 66% chance of winning against the Commanders in Week 13 of the NFL season.
Commanders vs Broncos: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Northwest Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Commanders $3.35, Broncos $1.34
- Line: Commanders +6 ($1.91), Broncos -6 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Commanders at $3.35 and the Broncos at $1.34.
The Commanders are 6-point underdogs against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Broncos (-6) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Commanders (+6) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 43.5-point over/under is expected to go over 56% of the time.
Commanders vs Broncos: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Washington at $3.35 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders +6 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 43.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best tips for today across any sport.
Today's Commanders vs Broncos best bets are based on market-leading simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Broncos have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our preferred option due to the 4.5% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Commanders vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs Broncos at Northwest Stadium in Week 13 is the Broncos winning 24-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Washington vs Denver game in Week 13, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Commanders vs Broncos: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs Broncos? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Denver's RJ Harvey is the most likely player to score the first TD in Commanders vs Broncos.
Harvey has a 10.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Northwest Stadium, while the Broncos RB has a 42.8% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders First TD Tips
- Chris Rodriguez: 7.5% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 6.5% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 6.0% probability
- Zach Ertz: 5.4% probability
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 4.2% probability
Broncos First TD Tips
- RJ Harvey: 10.5% probability
- Troy Franklin: 8.1% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 7.8% probability
- Evan Engram: 4.8% probability
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 4.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Chris Rodriguez: 33.5% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 30.0% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 28.1% probability
- Zach Ertz: 25.4% probability
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 20.4% probability
Broncos Anytime TD Tips
- RJ Harvey: 42.8% probability
- Troy Franklin: 34.9% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 34.0% probability
- Evan Engram: 22.3% probability
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 22.1% probability
Commanders-Broncos Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Marcus Mariota is projected for 205 passing yards, while the Broncos' Bo Nix is expected to throw for 237 yards.
Commanders Starting QB
- Marcus Mariota: 205 projected passing yards
Broncos Starting QB
- Bo Nix: 237 projected passing yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Chris Rodriguez: 43 projected yards
- Marcus Mariota: 31 projected yards
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 27 projected yards
Broncos Rushing Yards
- RJ Harvey: 56 projected yards
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 33 projected yards
- Bo Nix: 21 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Deebo Samuel: 45 projected yards
- Terry McLaurin: 44 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 38 projected yards
- Treylon Burks: 19 projected yards
- Jaylin Lane: 16 projected yards
Broncos Receiving Yards
- Troy Franklin: 56 projected yards
- Courtland Sutton: 55 projected yards
- Pat Bryant: 29 projected yards
- Evan Engram: 29 projected yards
- Marvin Mims: 21 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Washington vs Denver game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Commanders vs Broncos: Week 13 Essential Details
The NFL Week 13 match-up between the Commanders and Broncos at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:20pm AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos
- Date: Monday 1 December 2025
- Time: 12:20pm AEDT
- Venue: Northwest Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Washington vs Denver predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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