Commanders vs Bears Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 6, 2025

The Washington Commanders will sqaure off with the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 6 action at Northwest Stadium on Tuesday, starting at 11:15am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Commanders vs Bears game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's Washington vs Chicago NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Commanders a 67% chance of beating the Bears in Week 6 of the NFL season.

Commanders vs Bears: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NFL game at Northwest Stadium are shown below:

• Head to Head: Commanders $1.43, Bears $2.90
• Line: Commanders -4.5 ($1.91), Bears +4.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 49.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Commanders at $1.43 and the Bears at $2.90.

The Commanders are listed as 4.5-point favourites against the Bears, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Bears (+4.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 49.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both the Commanders and the Bears have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 49.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Commanders vs Bears: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Chicago at $2.90 with Bet365
• Line: Bears +4.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Under 49.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Stats Insider's Commanders vs Bears betting tips are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Commanders have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bears to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.

Commanders vs Bears: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs Bears at Northwest Stadium in Week 6 is the Commanders winning 27-22.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Washington vs Chicago game in Week 6, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Commanders vs Bears: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs Bears? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Washington's Jacory Croskey-Merritt is the most likely player to score the first TD in Commanders vs Bears.

Croskey-Merritt has a 9.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Northwest Stadium, while the Commanders RB has a 47.4% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Commanders First TD Tips

• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 9.3% probability
• Deebo Samuel: 7.1% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 6.2% probability
• Jayden Daniels: 6.2% probability
• Chris Rodriguez: 5.5% probability

Bears First TD Tips

• D'Andre Swift: 7.5% probability
• Rome Odunze: 7.5% probability
• DJ Moore: 5.5% probability
• Cole Kmet: 3.7% probability
• Kyle Monangai: 3.4% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Commanders Anytime TD Tips

• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 47.4% probability
• Deebo Samuel: 39.0% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 34.9% probability
• Jayden Daniels: 34.7% probability
• Chris Rodriguez: 31.4% probability

Bears Anytime TD Tips

• D'Andre Swift: 37.3% probability
• Rome Odunze: 37.1% probability
• DJ Moore: 28.9% probability
• Cole Kmet: 20.5% probability
• Kyle Monangai: 18.9% probability

Commanders-Bears Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected for 225 passing yards. The Bears' Caleb Williams is expected to throw for 233 yards.

Commanders Starting QB

• Jayden Daniels: 225 projected passing yards

Bears Starting QB

• Caleb Williams: 233 projected passing yards

Commanders Rushing Yards

• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 69 projected yards
• Jayden Daniels: 43 projected yards
• Chris Rodriguez: 26 projected yards

Bears Rushing Yards

• D'Andre Swift: 55 projected yards
• Caleb Williams: 29 projected yards
• Kyle Monangai: 21 projected yards

Commanders Receiving Yards

• Deebo Samuel: 66 projected yards
• Terry McLaurin: 53 projected yards
• Zach Ertz: 35 projected yards
• Noah Brown: 18 projected yards
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 13 projected yards

Bears Receiving Yards

• Rome Odunze: 70 projected yards
• DJ Moore: 46 projected yards
• Olamide Zaccheaus: 32 projected yards
• Cole Kmet: 28 projected yards
• Luther Burden: 24 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Washington vs Chicago match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Commanders vs Bears: Week 6 Essential Details

The NFL Week 6 game between the Commanders and Bears at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to commence at 11:15am AEDT on Tuesday.

• Teams: Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears
• Date: Tuesday 14 October 2025
• Time: 11:15am AEDT
• Venue: Northwest Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Washington vs Chicago predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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