Commanders vs Bears Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 6, 2025

The Washington Commanders will take on the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 6 action at Northwest Stadium on Tuesday, commencing at 11:15am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Commanders vs Bears game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's Washington vs Chicago NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Commanders a 69% chance of beating the Bears in Week 6 of the NFL season.

Commanders vs Bears: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NFL game at Northwest Stadium are listed below:

• Head to Head: Commanders $1.37, Bears $3.20
• Line: Commanders -5.5 ($1.91), Bears +5.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 49 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Commanders at $1.37 and the Bears at $3.20.

The Commanders are 5.5-point favourites against the Bears, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Bears (+5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 49 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Commanders and the Bears have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 49-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.

Commanders vs Bears: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Chicago at $3.20 with Bet365
• Line: Bears +5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Over 49 at $1.91 with Bet365

Stats Insider's Commanders vs Bears best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice every time.

While the Commanders have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bears to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Commanders vs Bears: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs Bears at Northwest Stadium in Week 6 is the Commanders winning 27-22.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Washington vs Chicago game in Week 6, including data-driven predictions and free tips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Commanders vs Bears: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs Bears? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Washington's Jacory Croskey-Merritt is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs Bears.

Croskey-Merritt has an 11.9% chance of getting in for six first at Northwest Stadium, while the Commanders RB has a 49.2% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Commanders First TD Tips

• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 11.9% probability
• Deebo Samuel: 8.4% probability
• Jayden Daniels: 7.4% probability
• Chris Rodriguez: 5.6% probability
• Zach Ertz: 5.4% probability

Bears First TD Tips

• Rome Odunze: 8.2% probability
• D'Andre Swift: 7.2% probability
• DJ Moore: 5.5% probability
• Kyle Monangai: 3.3% probability
• Cole Kmet: 3.3% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Commanders Anytime TD Tips

• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 49.2% probability
• Deebo Samuel: 37.9% probability
• Jayden Daniels: 34.3% probability
• Chris Rodriguez: 27.2% probability
• Zach Ertz: 26.5% probability

Bears Anytime TD Tips

• Rome Odunze: 37.3% probability
• D'Andre Swift: 33.7% probability
• DJ Moore: 27.0% probability
• Kyle Monangai: 17.3% probability
• Cole Kmet: 17.3% probability

Commanders-Bears Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected for 223 passing yards, while the Bears' Caleb Williams is expected to throw for 229 yards.

Commanders Starting QB

• Jayden Daniels: 223 projected passing yards

Bears Starting QB

• Caleb Williams: 229 projected passing yards

Commanders Rushing Yards

• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 73 projected yards
• Jayden Daniels: 48 projected yards
• Chris Rodriguez: 23 projected yards

Bears Rushing Yards

• D'Andre Swift: 52 projected yards
• Caleb Williams: 32 projected yards
• Kyle Monangai: 21 projected yards

Commanders Receiving Yards

• Deebo Samuel: 62 projected yards
• Zach Ertz: 37 projected yards
• Luke McCaffrey: 32 projected yards
• Chris Moore: 26 projected yards
• Jaylin Lane: 25 projected yards

Bears Receiving Yards

• Rome Odunze: 68 projected yards
• DJ Moore: 44 projected yards
• Olamide Zaccheaus: 32 projected yards
• Luther Burden: 25 projected yards
• Cole Kmet: 23 projected yards

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Washington vs Chicago match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Commanders vs Bears: Week 6 Essential Details

The NFL Week 6 match-up between the Commanders and Bears at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to begin at 11:15am AEDT on Tuesday.

• Teams: Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears
• Date: Tuesday 14 October 2025
• Time: 11:15am AEDT
• Venue: Northwest Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Washington vs Chicago predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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