Colts vs Texans Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 3, 2026
Last updated: Sep 27, 2026, 4:56PM | Published: Sep 20, 2026, 4:01AM
The Indianapolis Colts will sqaure off with the Houston Texans in NFL Week 3 action at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday, beginning at 3:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Colts vs Texans game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Indianapolis vs Houston NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Texans a 54% chance of winning against the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Colts vs Texans: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Lucas Oil Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Colts $2.05, Texans $1.80
- Line: Colts +1.5 ($1.91), Texans -1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Colts at $2.05 and the Texans at $1.80.
The Colts are listed as 1.5-point underdogs against the Texans, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Texans (-1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Colts (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 42.5-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Colts vs Texans: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Houston at $1.80 with Bet365
- Line: Colts +1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Colts vs Texans best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Colts vs Texans: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Colts vs Texans at Lucas Oil Stadium in Week 3 is the Texans winning 22-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Indianapolis vs Houston game in Week 3, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Colts vs Texans: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Colts vs Texans? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is the most likely player to score the first TD in Colts vs Texans.
Taylor has a 17.8% chance of getting in for six first at Lucas Oil Stadium, while the Colts RB has a 57.9% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts First TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 17.8% probability
- Tyler Warren: 6.4% probability
- Josh Downs: 5.8% probability
- Keenan Allen: 3.9% probability
- Laquon Treadwell: 2.8% probability
Texans First TD Tips
- David Montgomery: 14.1% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 5.6% probability
- Woody Marks: 5.3% probability
- Kayshon Boutte: 4.6% probability
- Xavier Hutchinson: 3.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts Anytime TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 57.9% probability
- Tyler Warren: 26.8% probability
- Josh Downs: 24.4% probability
- Keenan Allen: 17.2% probability
- Laquon Treadwell: 12.8% probability
Texans Anytime TD Tips
- David Montgomery: 51.8% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 25.1% probability
- Woody Marks: 24.0% probability
- Kayshon Boutte: 21.3% probability
- Xavier Hutchinson: 17.0% probability
Colts-Texans Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Daniel Jones is projected for 216 passing yards. The Texans' C.J. Stroud is expected to throw for 239 yards.
Colts Starting QB
- Daniel Jones: 216 projected passing yards
Texans Starting QB
- C.J. Stroud: 239 projected passing yards
Colts Rushing Yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 83 projected yards
- Daniel Jones: 14 projected yards
- Seth McGowan: 9 projected yards
Texans Rushing Yards
- David Montgomery: 54 projected yards
- Woody Marks: 35 projected yards
- C.J. Stroud: 14 projected yards
Colts Receiving Yards
- Josh Downs: 56 projected yards
- Tyler Warren: 47 projected yards
- Keenan Allen: 39 projected yards
- Laquon Treadwell: 28 projected yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 23 projected yards
Texans Receiving Yards
- Dalton Schultz: 52 projected yards
- Xavier Hutchinson: 44 projected yards
- Kayshon Boutte: 42 projected yards
- Jaylin Noel: 34 projected yards
- Jared Wayne: 21 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Indianapolis vs Houston game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Colts vs Texans: Week 3 Essential Details
The NFL Week 3 match-up between the Colts and Texans at Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans
- Date: Monday 28 September 2026
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Indianapolis vs Houston predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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