Colts vs Texans Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 13, 2025
Last updated: Nov 30, 2025, 6:01PM | Published: Nov 23, 2025, 7:20AM
The Indianapolis Colts will sqaure off with the Houston Texans in NFL Week 13 action at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Colts vs Texans game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Indianapolis vs Houston NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Colts a 61% chance of beating the Texans in Week 13 of the NFL season.
Colts vs Texans: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Lucas Oil Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Colts $1.59, Texans $2.45
- Line: Colts -3 ($1.91), Texans +3 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Colts at $1.59 and the Texans at $2.45.
The Colts are 3-point favourites against the Texans, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Texans (+3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Colts and the Texans have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 44.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Colts vs Texans: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Houston at $2.45 with Bet365
- Line: Texans +3 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Colts vs Texans predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Colts have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Texans to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Colts vs Texans: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Colts vs Texans at Lucas Oil Stadium in Week 13 is the Colts prevailing 23-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Indianapolis vs Houston game in Week 13, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Colts vs Texans prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Colts vs Texans: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Colts vs Texans? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is the most likely player to score the first TD in Colts vs Texans.
Taylor has a 20.2% chance of getting in for six first at Lucas Oil Stadium, while the Colts RB has a 68.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts First TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 20.2% probability
- Michael Pittman: 6.0% probability
- Tyler Warren: 5.6% probability
- Alec Pierce: 4.7% probability
- Josh Downs: 4.5% probability
Texans First TD Tips
- Woody Marks: 9.0% probability
- Nico Collins: 8.7% probability
- Jayden Higgins: 5.3% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 5.0% probability
- Christian Kirk: 3.3% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts Anytime TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 68.5% probability
- Michael Pittman: 28.9% probability
- Tyler Warren: 27.2% probability
- Alec Pierce: 23.7% probability
- Josh Downs: 22.6% probability
Texans Anytime TD Tips
- Woody Marks: 40.5% probability
- Nico Collins: 39.4% probability
- Jayden Higgins: 26.1% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 25.0% probability
- Christian Kirk: 17.2% probability
Colts-Texans Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Daniel Jones is projected for 229 passing yards, while the Texans' C.J. Stroud is expected to throw for 240 yards.
Colts Starting QB
- Daniel Jones: 229 projected passing yards
Texans Starting QB
- C.J. Stroud: 240 projected passing yards
Colts Rushing Yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 88 projected yards
- Daniel Jones: 14 projected yards
- Ameer Abdullah: 6 projected yards
Texans Rushing Yards
- Woody Marks: 58 projected yards
- Nick Chubb: 25 projected yards
- C.J. Stroud: 17 projected yards
Colts Receiving Yards
- Michael Pittman: 54 projected yards
- Tyler Warren: 50 projected yards
- Alec Pierce: 50 projected yards
- Josh Downs: 39 projected yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 19 projected yards
Texans Receiving Yards
- Nico Collins: 69 projected yards
- Dalton Schultz: 44 projected yards
- Jayden Higgins: 42 projected yards
- Christian Kirk: 25 projected yards
- Woody Marks: 16 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Indianapolis vs Houston game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Colts vs Texans: Week 13 Essential Details
The NFL Week 13 game between the Colts and Texans at Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans
- Date: Monday 1 December 2025
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Indianapolis vs Houston predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, tips for every NFL game, and Super Bowl odds for the NFL.
