Colts vs Raiders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2025
Last updated: Oct 5, 2025, 5:01PM | Published: Sep 30, 2025, 6:46AM
The Indianapolis Colts will take on the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 5 action at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday, starting at 4:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Colts vs Raiders game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Indianapolis vs Las Vegas NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Colts a 72% chance of winning against the Raiders in Week 5 of the NFL season.
Colts vs Raiders: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Lucas Oil Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Colts $1.28, Raiders $3.75
- Line: Colts -7.5 ($1.91), Raiders +7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Colts at $1.28 and the Raiders at $3.75.
The Colts are 7.5-point favourites against the Raiders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Raiders (+7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Raiders (+7.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 46.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Colts vs Raiders: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Las Vegas at $3.75 with Bet365
- Line: Raiders +7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Colts vs Raiders best bets are based on complex modelling and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
While the Colts have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Raiders to win is our preferred option because of the 1.2% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Colts vs Raiders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Colts vs Raiders at Lucas Oil Stadium in Week 5 is the Colts winning 26-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Indianapolis vs Las Vegas game in Week 5, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Colts vs Raiders prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Colts vs Raiders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Colts vs Raiders? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is the most likely player to score the first TD in Colts vs Raiders.
Taylor has a 17.9% chance of getting in for six first at Lucas Oil Stadium, while the Colts RB has a 59.9% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts First TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 17.9% probability
- Daniel Jones: 8.0% probability
- Tyler Warren: 7.1% probability
- Michael Pittman: 6.7% probability
- Josh Downs: 4.4% probability
Raiders First TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 12.5% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 7.6% probability
- Tre Tucker: 6.1% probability
- Dont'e Thornton: 3.9% probability
- Ian Thomas: 2.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts Anytime TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 59.9% probability
- Daniel Jones: 33.5% probability
- Tyler Warren: 30.4% probability
- Michael Pittman: 29.2% probability
- Josh Downs: 20.2% probability
Raiders Anytime TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 46.1% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 31.3% probability
- Tre Tucker: 26.0% probability
- Dont'e Thornton: 17.4% probability
- Ian Thomas: 12.3% probability
Colts-Raiders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Daniel Jones is projected for 231 passing yards, while the Raiders' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 233 yards.
Colts Starting QB
- Daniel Jones: 231 projected passing yards
Raiders Starting QB
- Geno Smith: 233 projected passing yards
Colts Rushing Yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 89 projected yards
- Daniel Jones: 21 projected yards
- DJ Giddens: 11 projected yards
Raiders Rushing Yards
- Ashton Jeanty: 69 projected yards
- Raheem Mostert: 16 projected yards
- Geno Smith: 12 projected yards
Colts Receiving Yards
- Michael Pittman: 62 projected yards
- Tyler Warren: 59 projected yards
- Josh Downs: 42 projected yards
- Adonai Mitchell: 25 projected yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 20 projected yards
Raiders Receiving Yards
- Jakobi Meyers: 77 projected yards
- Tre Tucker: 56 projected yards
- Dont'e Thornton: 34 projected yards
- Jack Bech: 23 projected yards
- Ashton Jeanty: 19 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Indianapolis vs Las Vegas game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Colts vs Raiders: Week 5 Essential Details
The NFL Week 5 game between the Colts and Raiders at Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders
- Date: Monday 6 October 2025
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Indianapolis vs Las Vegas predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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