Colts vs Raiders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2025
Last updated: Sep 30, 2025, 6:42AM | Published: Sep 28, 2025, 4:00AM
The Indianapolis Colts will face the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 5 action at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday, commencing at 4:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Colts vs Raiders game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Indianapolis vs Las Vegas NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Colts a 72% chance of winning against the Raiders at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Colts vs Raiders: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Lucas Oil Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Colts $1.32, Raiders $3.50
- Line: Colts -6.5 ($1.91), Raiders +6.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Colts at $1.32 and the Raiders at $3.50.
The Colts are listed as 6.5-point favourites against the Raiders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Raiders (+6.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both the Colts and the Raiders have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 48-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Colts vs Raiders: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Las Vegas at $3.50 with Bet365
- Line: Raiders +6.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Colts vs Raiders predictions are based on complex modelling and gambling experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Colts have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Raiders to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Colts vs Raiders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Colts vs Raiders at Lucas Oil Stadium in Week 5 is the Colts winning 26-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Indianapolis vs Las Vegas game in Week 5, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Colts vs Raiders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Colts vs Raiders? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Colts vs Raiders.
Taylor has a 19.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Lucas Oil Stadium, while the Colts RB has a 58.4% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts First TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 19.1% probability
- Daniel Jones: 8.7% probability
- Tyler Warren: 6.7% probability
- Michael Pittman: 5.2% probability
- Josh Downs: 3.7% probability
Raiders First TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 11.6% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 6.2% probability
- Brock Bowers: 6.1% probability
- Tre Tucker: 5.3% probability
- Dont'e Thornton: 3.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts Anytime TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 58.4% probability
- Daniel Jones: 33.0% probability
- Tyler Warren: 26.3% probability
- Michael Pittman: 21.2% probability
- Josh Downs: 15.4% probability
Raiders Anytime TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 44.3% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 26.6% probability
- Brock Bowers: 26.3% probability
- Tre Tucker: 23.4% probability
- Dont'e Thornton: 15.9% probability
Colts-Raiders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Daniel Jones is projected for 223 passing yards, while the Raiders' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 247 yards.
Colts Starting QB
- Daniel Jones: 223 projected passing yards
Raiders Starting QB
- Geno Smith: 247 projected passing yards
Colts Rushing Yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 81 projected yards
- Daniel Jones: 24 projected yards
- DJ Giddens: 11 projected yards
Raiders Rushing Yards
- Ashton Jeanty: 63 projected yards
- Raheem Mostert: 13 projected yards
- Geno Smith: 8 projected yards
Colts Receiving Yards
- Michael Pittman: 59 projected yards
- Tyler Warren: 49 projected yards
- Josh Downs: 35 projected yards
- Alec Pierce: 31 projected yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 22 projected yards
Raiders Receiving Yards
- Jakobi Meyers: 57 projected yards
- Brock Bowers: 54 projected yards
- Tre Tucker: 41 projected yards
- Dont'e Thornton: 30 projected yards
- Michael Mayer: 16 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Indianapolis vs Las Vegas match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Colts vs Raiders: Week 5 Essential Details
The NFL Week 5 match-up between the Colts and Raiders at Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders
- Date: Monday 6 October 2025
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Indianapolis vs Las Vegas predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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