Colts vs Dolphins Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 1, 2025
Last updated: Sep 7, 2025, 5:03PM | Published: Sep 4, 2025, 6:56PM
The Indianapolis Colts will sqaure off with the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 1 action at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday, beginning at 3:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Colts vs Dolphins game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Indianapolis vs Miami NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Colts a 55% chance of winning against the Dolphins in Week 1 of the NFL season.
Colts vs Dolphins: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Lucas Oil Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Colts $1.87, Dolphins $1.95
- Line: Colts -1 ($1.91), Dolphins +1 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 47 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Colts at $1.87 and the Dolphins at $1.95.
The Colts are listed as 1-point favourites against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dolphins (+1) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 47 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Colts (-1) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 47-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Colts vs Dolphins: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Indianapolis at $1.87 with Bet365
- Line: Colts -1 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 47 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Colts vs Dolphins best bets are based on world-class modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Colts vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Colts vs Dolphins at Lucas Oil Stadium in Week 1 is the Colts winning 23-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Indianapolis vs Miami game in Week 1, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Colts vs Dolphins prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Colts vs Dolphins: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Colts vs Dolphins? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is the most likely player to score the first TD in Colts vs Dolphins.
Taylor has a 15.6% chance of getting in for six first at Lucas Oil Stadium, while the Colts RB has a 55.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts First TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 15.6% probability
- Michael Pittman: 5.4% probability
- Josh Downs: 5.2% probability
- Daniel Jones: 5.0% probability
- Tyler Warren: 4.9% probability
Dolphins First TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 14.5% probability
- Tyreek Hill: 8.6% probability
- Ollie Gordon: 6.7% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 6.1% probability
- Malik Washington: 2.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts Anytime TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 55.3% probability
- Michael Pittman: 24.5% probability
- Josh Downs: 23.6% probability
- Daniel Jones: 23.0% probability
- Tyler Warren: 22.5% probability
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 54.0% probability
- Tyreek Hill: 36.9% probability
- Ollie Gordon: 29.9% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 27.9% probability
- Malik Washington: 13.5% probability
Colts-Dolphins Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Daniel Jones is projected for 213 passing yards, while the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for 249 yards.
Colts Starting QB
- Daniel Jones: 213 projected passing yards
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 249 projected passing yards
Colts Rushing Yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 83 projected yards
- Daniel Jones: 28 projected yards
- DJ Giddens: 16 projected yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- De'Von Achane: 62 projected yards
- Ollie Gordon: 35 projected yards
- Tua Tagovailoa: 5 projected yards
Colts Receiving Yards
- Josh Downs: 53 projected yards
- Michael Pittman: 52 projected yards
- Tyler Warren: 41 projected yards
- Alec Pierce: 31 projected yards
- Adonai Mitchell: 19 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Tyreek Hill: 72 projected yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 63 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 34 projected yards
- Malik Washington: 29 projected yards
- Julian Hill: 18 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Indianapolis vs Miami game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Colts vs Dolphins: Week 1 Essential Details
The NFL Week 1 game between the Colts and Dolphins at Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins
- Date: Monday 8 September 2025
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Indianapolis vs Miami predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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