Colts vs Dolphins Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 1, 2025
Last updated: Sep 4, 2025, 6:53PM | Published: Aug 19, 2025, 4:10PM
The Indianapolis Colts will sqaure off with the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 1 action at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday, commencing at 3:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Colts vs Dolphins game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Indianapolis vs Miami NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Colts a 55% chance of winning against the Dolphins at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Colts vs Dolphins: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Lucas Oil Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Colts $1.91, Dolphins $1.91
- Line: Colts -1 ($1.91), Dolphins +1 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Colts at $1.91 and the Dolphins at $1.91.
The Colts are 1-point favourites against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dolphins (+1) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Colts (-1) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 46.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Colts vs Dolphins: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Indianapolis at $1.91 with Bet365
- Line: Colts -1 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Colts vs Dolphins predictions are based on detailed modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Colts vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Colts vs Dolphins at Lucas Oil Stadium in Week 1 is the Colts winning 23-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Indianapolis vs Miami game in Week 1, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Colts vs Dolphins: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Colts vs Dolphins? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is the most likely player to score the first TD in Colts vs Dolphins.
Taylor has a 15.1% chance of getting in for six first at Lucas Oil Stadium, while the Colts RB has a 55.9% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts First TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 15.1% probability
- Michael Pittman: 5.4% probability
- Josh Downs: 5.1% probability
- Daniel Jones: 5.1% probability
- Tyler Warren: 4.9% probability
Dolphins First TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 13.7% probability
- Tyreek Hill: 8.1% probability
- Ollie Gordon: 6.1% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 5.6% probability
- Darren Waller: 3.1% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts Anytime TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 55.9% probability
- Michael Pittman: 25.3% probability
- Josh Downs: 24.4% probability
- Daniel Jones: 24.3% probability
- Tyler Warren: 23.3% probability
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 55.3% probability
- Tyreek Hill: 37.9% probability
- Ollie Gordon: 30.1% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 28.0% probability
- Darren Waller: 16.6% probability
Colts-Dolphins Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Daniel Jones is projected for 206 passing yards, while the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for 247 yards.
Colts Starting QB
- Daniel Jones: 206 projected passing yards
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 247 projected passing yards
Colts Rushing Yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 81 projected yards
- Daniel Jones: 26 projected yards
- DJ Giddens: 16 projected yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- De'Von Achane: 64 projected yards
- Ollie Gordon: 36 projected yards
- Tua Tagovailoa: 6 projected yards
Colts Receiving Yards
- Michael Pittman: 52 projected yards
- Josh Downs: 52 projected yards
- Tyler Warren: 39 projected yards
- Alec Pierce: 31 projected yards
- Adonai Mitchell: 20 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Tyreek Hill: 74 projected yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 62 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 33 projected yards
- Darren Waller: 30 projected yards
- Malik Washington: 24 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Indianapolis vs Miami match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Colts vs Dolphins: Week 1 Essential Details
The NFL Week 1 game between the Colts and Dolphins at Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins
- Date: Monday 8 September 2025
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Indianapolis vs Miami predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl odds for the NFL.
