Collingwood vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 16, 2026
Last updated: Jun 23, 2026, 2:10AM | Published: Jun 22, 2026, 9:30AM
Collingwood will take on Richmond in AFL Round 16 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 4:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Collingwood vs Richmond game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Collingwood vs Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Magpies an 86% chance of beating the Tigers in Round 16 of the 2026 AFL season.
Collingwood vs Richmond: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Collingwood $1.12, Richmond $6.25
- Line: Collingwood -36.5 ($1.91), Richmond +36.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Collingwood at $1.12 and Richmond at $6.25.
The Magpies are 36.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Tigers (+36.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 170.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+36.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 170.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Collingwood vs Richmond: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Richmond at $6.25 with Bet365
- Line: Richmond +36.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 170.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Collingwood vs Richmond best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering experience to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Magpies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Collingwood vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Collingwood vs Richmond at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday is Collingwood winning 102-68.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Collingwood vs Richmond match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Collingwood vs Richmond game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Collingwood vs Richmond: Essential Details
The AFL Round 16 clash between the Magpies and Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 4:15pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Collingwood vs Richmond
- Date: Saturday 27 June 2026
- Time: 4:15pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Collingwood vs Richmond predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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