Collingwood vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 16, 2026

Collingwood will take on Richmond in AFL Round 16 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 4:15pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Collingwood vs Richmond game, as well as the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Collingwood vs Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Magpies an 85% chance of defeating the Tigers in Round 16 of the 2026 AFL season.

Collingwood vs Richmond: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:

• Head to Head: Collingwood $1.10, Richmond $7.00
• Line: Collingwood -38.5 ($1.91), Richmond +38.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 165.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Collingwood at $1.10 and Richmond at $7.00.

The Magpies are 38.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Tigers (+38.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 165.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Tigers (+38.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 165.5-point over/under is expected to go over 56% of the time.

Collingwood vs Richmond: Best Bets

• Head to Head: Richmond at $7.00 with Bet365
• Line: Richmond +38.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Over 165.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Stats Insider's Collingwood vs Richmond predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7.

While the Magpies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Collingwood vs Richmond: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Collingwood vs Richmond at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday is Collingwood winning 101-67.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Collingwood vs Richmond match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Collingwood vs Richmond match.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Collingwood vs Richmond: Essential Details

The AFL Round 16 clash between the Magpies and Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 4:15pm AEST on Saturday.

• Teams: Collingwood vs Richmond
• Date: Saturday 27 June 2026
• Time: 4:15pm AEST
• Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Collingwood vs Richmond predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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