Collingwood vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2024

Collingwood will sqaure off with Hawthorn in AFL Round 4 action at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, starting at 5:10pm AEST.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Collingwood vs Hawthorn game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Collingwood vs Hawthorn

Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Collingwood-Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Magpies a 79% chance of defeating the Hawks at Adelaide Oval.

More: Collingwood vs Hawthorn Simulated 10,000 Times

Collingwood vs Hawthorn: Odds

The current betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Collingwood $1.27, Hawthorn $4.60
  • Line: Collingwood -27.5 ($1.98), Hawthorn +27.5 ($1.96)
  • Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $1.98, Under $1.83

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Collingwood at $1.27 and Hawthorn at $4.60.

The Magpies are listed as 27.5-point favourites against the Hawks, with odds of $1.98 currently on offer at TAB.

For the underdog Hawks (+27.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.96.

The Over/Under for Collingwood vs Hawthorn has been set at 168.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.98 and odds for the Under at $1.83.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (+27.5) have a 57% chance of covering the line, while the 168.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of staying Under.

More: Predictions for Every AFL Game

Collingwood vs Hawthorn: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Collingwood at $1.27 with (79% probability)
  • Line: Hawthorn +27.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (57% probability) 🔥
  • Total Points: Under 168.5 at $1.83 with Betfair (52% probability)

If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.

These Collingwood vs Hawthorn best bets are based on complex modelling and betting experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

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Collingwood vs Hawthorn: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Collingwood vs Hawthorn at Adelaide Oval this Sunday has Collingwood winning 94-72.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Collingwood vs Hawthorn on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Collingwood vs Hawthorn: Goal Kickers

Are you looking for Collingwood vs Hawthorn goal kicker tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Collingwood's Brody Mihocek is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Collingwood vs Hawthorn.

Mihocek has an 8.0% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Magpies star has an 89.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips


  • Brody Mihocek: 8.0% probability
  • Jamie Elliott: 6.6% probability
  • Lachie Schultz: 6.4% probability
  • Bobby Hill: 5.3% probability
  • Reef McInnes: 4.2% probability


  • Mabior Chol: 6.3% probability
  • Jack Ginnivan: 5.2% probability
  • Dylan Moore: 3.6% probability
  • Sam Butler: 3.0% probability
  • Connor Macdonald: 2.9% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips


  • Brody Mihocek: 89.8% probability
  • Jamie Elliott: 86.3% probability
  • Lachie Schultz: 84.1% probability
  • Bobby Hill: 77.3% probability
  • Reef McInnes: 68.0% probability


  • Mabior Chol: 83.4% probability
  • Jack Ginnivan: 72.6% probability
  • Dylan Moore: 67.0% probability
  • Sam Butler: 55.5% probability
  • Connor Macdonald: 54.2% probability

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Collingwood vs Hawthorn game at Adelaide Oval.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Player Ratings 2024

Collingwood vs Hawthorn: Preview

The AFL Round 4 clash between the Magpies and Hawks at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to start at 5:10pm AEST on Sunday.

  • Teams: Collingwood vs Hawthorn
  • Date: Sunday 7 April 2024
  • Time: 5:10pm AEST
  • Venue: Adelaide Oval

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.

Our Collingwood vs Hawthorn predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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