Collingwood vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 12, 2025
Last updated: May 30, 2025, 9:40AM | Published: May 25, 2025, 9:40PM
Collingwood will take on Hawthorn in AFL Round 12 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, commencing at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Collingwood vs Hawthorn game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Collingwood vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Magpies a 53% chance of winning against the Hawks in Round 12 of the 2025 AFL season.
Collingwood vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Collingwood $1.63, Hawthorn $2.35
- Line: Collingwood -8.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn +8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Collingwood at $1.63 and Hawthorn at $2.35.
The Magpies are listed as 8.5-point favourites against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Hawks (+8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 168.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Hawks (+8.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 168.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Collingwood vs Hawthorn: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $2.35 with Bet365
- Line: Hawthorn +8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 168.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across all sports.
Stats Insider's Collingwood vs Hawthorn best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to give you the best possible advice every time.
While the Magpies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Hawks to win is our recommended option due to the 4.1% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Collingwood vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Collingwood vs Hawthorn at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday is Collingwood winning 84-81.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Collingwood vs Hawthorn match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Collingwood vs Hawthorn match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Collingwood vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Round 12 clash between the Magpies and Hawks at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Collingwood vs Hawthorn
- Date: Friday 30 May 2025
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Collingwood vs Hawthorn predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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