Collingwood vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 19, 2026
Last updated: Jul 18, 2026, 9:32AM | Published: Jul 12, 2026, 8:25AM
Collingwood will face Carlton in AFL Round 19 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, beginning at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Collingwood vs Carlton game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Collingwood vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Magpies a 54% chance of winning against the Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Collingwood vs Carlton: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Collingwood $1.72, Carlton $2.15
- Line: Collingwood -5.5 ($1.91), Carlton +5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 163.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Collingwood at $1.72 and Carlton at $2.15.
The Magpies are listed as 5.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Blues (+5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 163.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Blues (+5.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 163.5-point over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Collingwood vs Carlton: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $2.15 with Bet365
- Line: Carlton +5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 163.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Collingwood vs Carlton best bets are based on world-class modelling and betting intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Magpies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Blues to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Collingwood vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Collingwood vs Carlton at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday is Collingwood winning 83-81.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Collingwood vs Carlton match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Collingwood vs Carlton: Goal Kickers
Searching for Collingwood vs Carlton goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Collingwood's Tim Membrey is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Collingwood vs Carlton.
Membrey has an 8.4% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Magpies star has a 91.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Collingwood
- Tim Membrey: 8.4% probability
- Daniel McStay: 7.3% probability
- Nick Daicos: 6.4% probability
- Jordan De Goey: 4.6% probability
- Angus Anderson: 4.6% probability
Carlton
- Harry McKay: 7.7% probability
- Brodie Kemp: 6.7% probability
- Mitch McGovern: 5.4% probability
- Will Hayward: 4.6% probability
- Francis Evans: 4.2% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Collingwood
- Tim Membrey: 91.3% probability
- Daniel McStay: 89.7% probability
- Nick Daicos: 83.3% probability
- Jordan De Goey: 73.3% probability
- Angus Anderson: 73.3% probability
Carlton
- Harry McKay: 87.9% probability
- Brodie Kemp: 83.6% probability
- Mitch McGovern: 78.0% probability
- Will Hayward: 74.6% probability
- Francis Evans: 70.7% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Collingwood vs Carlton game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Collingwood vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Round 19 clash between the Magpies and Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Collingwood vs Carlton
- Date: Saturday 18 July 2026
- Time: 7:35pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Collingwood vs Carlton predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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