Chiefs vs Texans Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 14, 2025
Last updated: Dec 3, 2025, 1:52AM | Published: Dec 1, 2025, 5:11AM
The Kansas City Chiefs will face the Houston Texans in NFL Week 14 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, starting at 12:20pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Chiefs vs Texans game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Kansas City vs Houston NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs a 62% chance of beating the Texans in Week 14 of the NFL season.
Chiefs vs Texans: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.54, Texans $2.55
- Line: Chiefs -3 ($1.91), Texans +3 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chiefs at $1.54 and the Texans at $2.55.
The Chiefs are listed as 3-point favourites against the Texans, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Texans (+3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Chiefs (-3) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 42-point over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Chiefs vs Texans: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Houston at $2.55 with Bet365
- Line: Chiefs -3 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 42 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best tips for today across all sports.
Today's Chiefs vs Texans predictions are based on detailed modelling and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Chiefs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Texans to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Chiefs vs Texans: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 14 is the Chiefs winning 23-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Kansas City vs Houston game in Week 14, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Chiefs vs Texans: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Texans? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Rashee Rice is the most likely player to score the first TD in Chiefs vs Texans.
Rice has a 9.9% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs WR has a 42.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Rashee Rice: 9.9% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 9.7% probability
- Travis Kelce: 6.4% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 5.0% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 3.6% probability
Texans First TD Tips
- Woody Marks: 9.1% probability
- Nico Collins: 8.1% probability
- Jayden Higgins: 4.8% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 4.2% probability
- Nick Chubb: 4.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Rashee Rice: 42.3% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 41.8% probability
- Travis Kelce: 29.9% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 24.4% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 18.0% probability
Texans Anytime TD Tips
- Woody Marks: 38.8% probability
- Nico Collins: 35.2% probability
- Jayden Higgins: 22.8% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 20.0% probability
- Nick Chubb: 19.2% probability
Chiefs-Texans Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 245 passing yards, while the Texans' C.J. Stroud is expected to throw for 241 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 245 projected passing yards
Texans Starting QB
- C.J. Stroud: 241 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Kareem Hunt: 43 projected yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 27 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 25 projected yards
Texans Rushing Yards
- Woody Marks: 52 projected yards
- Nick Chubb: 26 projected yards
- C.J. Stroud: 15 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Rashee Rice: 70 projected yards
- Travis Kelce: 50 projected yards
- Xavier Worthy: 42 projected yards
- Hollywood Brown: 24 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 15 projected yards
Texans Receiving Yards
- Nico Collins: 72 projected yards
- Dalton Schultz: 42 projected yards
- Jayden Higgins: 40 projected yards
- Xavier Hutchinson: 24 projected yards
- Christian Kirk: 23 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Kansas City vs Houston game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Chiefs vs Texans: Week 14 Essential Details
The NFL Week 14 game between the Chiefs and Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:20pm AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans
- Date: Monday 8 December 2025
- Time: 12:20pm AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Kansas City vs Houston predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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