Chiefs vs Texans Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 14, 2025
Last updated: Dec 8, 2025, 1:15AM | Published: Dec 1, 2025, 5:11AM
The Kansas City Chiefs will sqaure off with the Houston Texans in NFL Week 14 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, starting at 12:20pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Chiefs vs Texans game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Kansas City vs Houston NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Chiefs a 67% chance of defeating the Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Chiefs vs Texans: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.45, Texans $2.80
- Line: Chiefs -4.5 ($1.91), Texans +4.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chiefs at $1.45 and the Texans at $2.80.
The Chiefs are 4.5-point favourites against the Texans, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Texans (+4.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Chiefs and the Texans have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 41.5-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Chiefs vs Texans: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $1.45 with Bet365
- Line: Texans +4.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 41.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Chiefs vs Texans betting tips are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Chiefs vs Texans: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 14 is the Chiefs winning 23-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Kansas City vs Houston game in Week 14, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Chiefs vs Texans: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Texans? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Rashee Rice is the most likely player to score the first TD in Chiefs vs Texans.
Rice has an 11.0% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs WR has a 43.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Rashee Rice: 11.0% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 10.7% probability
- Travis Kelce: 6.9% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 5.3% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 4.0% probability
Texans First TD Tips
- Woody Marks: 8.7% probability
- Nico Collins: 8.1% probability
- Jayden Higgins: 4.7% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 4.5% probability
- Nick Chubb: 3.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Rashee Rice: 43.4% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 42.8% probability
- Travis Kelce: 30.2% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 24.2% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 18.5% probability
Texans Anytime TD Tips
- Woody Marks: 36.8% probability
- Nico Collins: 34.7% probability
- Jayden Higgins: 22.1% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 21.2% probability
- Nick Chubb: 17.3% probability
Chiefs-Texans Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 248 passing yards, while the Texans' C.J. Stroud is expected to throw for 238 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 248 projected passing yards
Texans Starting QB
- C.J. Stroud: 238 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Kareem Hunt: 39 projected yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 28 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 26 projected yards
Texans Rushing Yards
- Woody Marks: 52 projected yards
- Nick Chubb: 22 projected yards
- C.J. Stroud: 16 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Rashee Rice: 73 projected yards
- Travis Kelce: 49 projected yards
- Xavier Worthy: 41 projected yards
- Hollywood Brown: 21 projected yards
- Noah Gray: 14 projected yards
Texans Receiving Yards
- Nico Collins: 72 projected yards
- Dalton Schultz: 43 projected yards
- Jayden Higgins: 40 projected yards
- Christian Kirk: 22 projected yards
- Xavier Hutchinson: 21 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Kansas City vs Houston match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Chiefs vs Texans: Week 14 Essential Details
The NFL Week 14 game between the Chiefs and Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:20pm AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans
- Date: Monday 8 December 2025
- Time: 12:20pm AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Kansas City vs Houston predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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