Chiefs vs Ravens Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2025
Last updated: Sep 28, 2025, 8:25PM | Published: Sep 21, 2025, 4:02AM
The Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Baltimore Ravens in NFL Week 4 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, starting at 6:25am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Chiefs vs Ravens game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Kansas City vs Baltimore NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Ravens a 58% chance of defeating the Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Chiefs vs Ravens: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $2.25, Ravens $1.67
- Line: Chiefs +2.5 ($1.91), Ravens -2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chiefs at $2.25 and the Ravens at $1.67.
The Chiefs are 2.5-point underdogs against the Ravens, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Ravens (-2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Chiefs and the Ravens have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 48.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Chiefs vs Ravens: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $2.25 with Bet365
- Line: Ravens -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Chiefs vs Ravens betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Ravens have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Chiefs to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Chiefs vs Ravens: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Ravens at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 4 is the Ravens winning 25-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Kansas City vs Baltimore game in Week 4, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Chiefs vs Ravens prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Chiefs vs Ravens: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Ravens? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Baltimore's Derrick Henry is the most likely player to score the first TD in Chiefs vs Ravens.
Henry has a 13.5% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Ravens RB has a 56.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Kareem Hunt: 6.6% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 6.5% probability
- Travis Kelce: 5.7% probability
- Hollywood Brown: 5.3% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 5.0% probability
Ravens First TD Tips
- Derrick Henry: 13.5% probability
- Zay Flowers: 7.1% probability
- Mark Andrews: 5.5% probability
- Lamar Jackson: 4.8% probability
- Rashod Bateman: 4.4% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Kareem Hunt: 31.8% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 31.5% probability
- Travis Kelce: 28.0% probability
- Hollywood Brown: 26.7% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 25.3% probability
Ravens Anytime TD Tips
- Derrick Henry: 56.2% probability
- Zay Flowers: 35.4% probability
- Mark Andrews: 28.4% probability
- Lamar Jackson: 25.3% probability
- Rashod Bateman: 23.5% probability
Chiefs-Ravens Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 251 passing yards. The Ravens' Lamar Jackson is expected to throw for 233 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 251 projected passing yards
Ravens Starting QB
- Lamar Jackson: 233 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 35 projected yards
- Kareem Hunt: 30 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 29 projected yards
Ravens Rushing Yards
- Derrick Henry: 86 projected yards
- Lamar Jackson: 53 projected yards
- Justice Hill: 10 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Xavier Worthy: 52 projected yards
- Hollywood Brown: 45 projected yards
- Travis Kelce: 43 projected yards
- Tyquan Thornton: 29 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 23 projected yards
Ravens Receiving Yards
- Zay Flowers: 68 projected yards
- Rashod Bateman: 39 projected yards
- Mark Andrews: 36 projected yards
- Isaiah Likely: 26 projected yards
- DeAndre Hopkins: 22 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Kansas City vs Baltimore game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Chiefs vs Ravens: Week 4 Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 match-up between the Chiefs and Ravens at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:25am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens
- Date: Monday 29 September 2025
- Time: 6:25am AEST
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Kansas City vs Baltimore predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, tips for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.
