Chiefs vs Raiders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 7, 2025
Last updated: Oct 14, 2025, 9:45AM | Published: Oct 12, 2025, 4:00AM
The Kansas City Chiefs will face the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 7 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, commencing at 4:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Chiefs vs Raiders game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Kansas City vs Las Vegas NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Chiefs an 85% chance of beating the Raiders in Week 7 of the NFL season.
Chiefs vs Raiders: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.13, Raiders $6.25
- Line: Chiefs -12 ($1.91), Raiders +12 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chiefs at $1.13 and the Raiders at $6.25.
The Chiefs are listed as 12-point favourites against the Raiders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Raiders (+12) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Raiders (+12) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Chiefs vs Raiders: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Las Vegas at $6.25 with Bet365
- Line: Raiders +12 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Chiefs vs Raiders predictions are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Chiefs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Raiders to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Chiefs vs Raiders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Raiders at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 7 is the Chiefs winning 28-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Kansas City vs Las Vegas game in Week 7, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Chiefs vs Raiders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chiefs vs Raiders? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Las Vegas' Ashton Jeanty is the most likely player to score the first TD in Chiefs vs Raiders.
Jeanty has a 14.2% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Raiders RB has a 50.4% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Rashee Rice: 10.1% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 8.1% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 8.1% probability
- Hollywood Brown: 5.9% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 5.8% probability
Raiders First TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 14.2% probability
- Tre Tucker: 4.6% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 4.3% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 3.8% probability
- Michael Mayer: 3.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Rashee Rice: 38.4% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 32.3% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 32.1% probability
- Hollywood Brown: 24.8% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 24.4% probability
Raiders Anytime TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 50.4% probability
- Tre Tucker: 20.4% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 19.3% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 17.2% probability
- Michael Mayer: 16.1% probability
Chiefs-Raiders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 252 passing yards. The Raiders' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 217 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 252 projected passing yards
Raiders Starting QB
- Geno Smith: 217 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 39 projected yards
- Kareem Hunt: 25 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 20 projected yards
Raiders Rushing Yards
- Ashton Jeanty: 69 projected yards
- Raheem Mostert: 15 projected yards
- Geno Smith: 9 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Rashee Rice: 61 projected yards
- Xavier Worthy: 48 projected yards
- Travis Kelce: 39 projected yards
- Hollywood Brown: 35 projected yards
- Tyquan Thornton: 11 projected yards
Raiders Receiving Yards
- Jakobi Meyers: 50 projected yards
- Tre Tucker: 34 projected yards
- Michael Mayer: 30 projected yards
- Dont'e Thornton: 25 projected yards
- Ashton Jeanty: 14 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Kansas City vs Las Vegas game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Chiefs vs Raiders: Week 7 Essential Details
The NFL Week 7 match-up between the Chiefs and Raiders at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders
- Date: Monday 20 October 2025
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Kansas City vs Las Vegas predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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