Chiefs vs Lions Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 6, 2025
Last updated: Oct 13, 2025, 12:21AM | Published: Oct 6, 2025, 4:00AM
The Kansas City Chiefs will sqaure off with the Detroit Lions in NFL Week 6 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, starting at 11:20am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Chiefs vs Lions game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Kansas City vs Detroit NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs a 59% chance of winning against the Lions in Week 6 of the NFL season.
Chiefs vs Lions: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.67, Lions $2.25
- Line: Chiefs -2.5 ($1.91), Lions +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 51.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chiefs at $1.67 and the Lions at $2.25.
The Chiefs are listed as 2.5-point favourites against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Lions (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 51.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Chiefs and the Lions have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 51.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Chiefs vs Lions: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $1.67 with Bet365
- Line: Lions +2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 51.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Chiefs vs Lions betting tips are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice every time.
Chiefs vs Lions: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Lions at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 6 is the Chiefs winning 27-24.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Kansas City vs Detroit game in Week 6, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Chiefs vs Lions: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Lions? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Detroit's Jahmyr Gibbs is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Lions.
Gibbs has a 12.2% chance of getting in for six first at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Lions RB has a 58.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Xavier Worthy: 8.0% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 7.5% probability
- Travis Kelce: 6.3% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 4.8% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 4.8% probability
Lions First TD Tips
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 12.2% probability
- David Montgomery: 9.1% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 8.5% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 5.0% probability
- Jameson Williams: 4.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Xavier Worthy: 37.3% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 35.4% probability
- Travis Kelce: 30.7% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 24.5% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 24.2% probability
Lions Anytime TD Tips
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 58.3% probability
- David Montgomery: 47.9% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 45.7% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 29.9% probability
- Jameson Williams: 27.6% probability
Chiefs-Lions Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 272 passing yards, while the Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for 248 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 272 projected passing yards
Lions Starting QB
- Jared Goff: 248 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 32 projected yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 32 projected yards
- Kareem Hunt: 31 projected yards
Lions Rushing Yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 71 projected yards
- David Montgomery: 45 projected yards
- Jared Goff: 4 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Xavier Worthy: 68 projected yards
- Travis Kelce: 46 projected yards
- Hollywood Brown: 45 projected yards
- Tyquan Thornton: 33 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 30 projected yards
Lions Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 80 projected yards
- Jameson Williams: 50 projected yards
- Sam LaPorta: 48 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 31 projected yards
- Isaac TeSlaa: 19 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Kansas City vs Detroit game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Chiefs vs Lions: Week 6 Essential Details
The NFL Week 6 game between the Chiefs and Lions at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to start at 11:20am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions
- Date: Monday 13 October 2025
- Time: 11:20am AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Kansas City vs Detroit predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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