Chiefs vs Dolphins Prediction and Preview - NFL Wild Card Round 2024
Last updated: Jan 14, 2024, 1:11AM | Published: Jan 8, 2024, 6:50AM
The Kansas City Chiefs will face the Miami Dolphins on Wild Card Weekend of the NFL Playoffs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 12:10pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Chiefs vs Dolphins game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Chiefs vs Dolphins
Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Kansas City-Miami NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs a 63% chance of winning against the Dolphins at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
More: Chiefs vs Dolphins Match Centre
Chiefs vs Dolphins: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.46, Dolphins $3.10
- Line: Chiefs -4.5 ($2.00), Dolphins +4.5 ($1.97)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.96, Under $2.02
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Chiefs at $1.46 and the Dolphins at $3.10.
The Chiefs are 4.5-point favourites against the Dolphins, with odds of $2.00 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Dolphins (+4.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.97.
The Over/Under for Chiefs vs Dolphins has been set at 43.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.96 and odds for the Under at $2.02.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dolphins (+4.5) have a 60% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 43.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
The best site for placing bets on the Chiefs vs Dolphins game is Betfair, where you can wager against other NFL fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.
More: Super Bowl 2024 Probabilities and Odds
Chiefs vs Dolphins: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Miami at $3.10 with Betfair (5.2% edge) 🔥
- Line: Dolphins +4.5 at $1.97 with Betfair (60% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 43.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (50% probability)
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across all sports.
Today's Chiefs vs Dolphins betting tips are based on detailed modelling and gambling experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Chiefs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dolphins to win is our recommended option due to the 5.2% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
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Chiefs vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Dolphins at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday has the Chiefs winning 23-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Kansas City vs Miami on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Chiefs vs Dolphins: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Dolphins? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco is the most likely player to score the first TD in Chiefs vs Dolphins.
Pacheco has a 15.2% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs RB has a 55.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Isiah Pacheco: 15.2% probability
- Rashee Rice: 9.2% probability
- Travis Kelce: 8.5% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 5.7% probability
- Justin Watson: 3.7% probability
Dolphins First TD Tips
- Tyreek Hill: 11.6% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 10.1% probability
- De'Von Achane: 8.0% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 5.3% probability
- Braxton Berrios: 1.9% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Isiah Pacheco: 55.5% probability
- Rashee Rice: 38.1% probability
- Travis Kelce: 35.3% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 24.8% probability
- Mecole Hardman: 16.8% probability
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- Tyreek Hill: 46.3% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 41.8% probability
- De'Von Achane: 34.4% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 24.1% probability
- Durham Smythe: 9.1% probability
Chiefs-Dolphins Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 278 passing yards, while the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for 251 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 278 projected passing yards
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 251 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 82 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 22 projected yards
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 16 projected yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- Raheem Mostert: 58 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 49 projected yards
- Jeff Wilson: 12 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Rashee Rice: 72 projected yards
- Travis Kelce: 58 projected yards
- Justin Watson: 30 projected yards
- Noah Gray: 19 projected yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 18 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Tyreek Hill: 86 projected yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 67 projected yards
- Cedrick Wilson: 35 projected yards
- Durham Smythe: 27 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 18 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Kansas City vs Miami match-up at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Chiefs vs Dolphins: Preview
The match-up between the Chiefs and Dolphins at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:10pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins
- Playoff Round: NFL Wild Card Weekend
- Date: Sunday 14 January 2024
- Time: 12:10pm AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Kansas City vs Miami predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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