Chiefs vs Commanders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 8, 2025
Last updated: Oct 22, 2025, 6:47AM | Published: Oct 21, 2025, 4:05AM
The Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 8 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Tuesday, commencing at 11:15am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Chiefs vs Commanders game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's Kansas City vs Washington NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs an 82% chance of beating the Commanders in Week 8 of the NFL season.
Chiefs vs Commanders: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.17, Commanders $5.25
- Line: Chiefs -10 ($1.91), Commanders +10 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chiefs at $1.17 and the Commanders at $5.25.
The Chiefs are listed as 10-point favourites against the Commanders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Commanders (+10) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Commanders (+10) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 48-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Chiefs vs Commanders: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Washington at $5.25 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders +10 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Chiefs vs Commanders best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Chiefs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Chiefs vs Commanders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Commanders at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 8 is the Chiefs winning 28-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Kansas City vs Washington game in Week 8, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Chiefs vs Commanders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Commanders? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Rashee Rice is the most likely player to score the first TD in Chiefs vs Commanders.
Rice has a 10.6% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs WR has a 41.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Rashee Rice: 10.6% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 7.9% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 6.4% probability
- Travis Kelce: 5.8% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 5.3% probability
Commanders First TD Tips
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 6.3% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 5.8% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 5.4% probability
- Zach Ertz: 4.9% probability
- Jayden Daniels: 4.3% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Rashee Rice: 41.0% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 32.3% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 27.0% probability
- Travis Kelce: 24.8% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 23.0% probability
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 40.4% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 37.5% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 35.6% probability
- Zach Ertz: 32.7% probability
- Jayden Daniels: 29.5% probability
Chiefs-Commanders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 254 passing yards, while the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 223 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 254 projected passing yards
Commanders Starting QB
- Jayden Daniels: 223 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 42 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 20 projected yards
- Kareem Hunt: 17 projected yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Jayden Daniels: 47 projected yards
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 47 projected yards
- Chris Rodriguez: 17 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Rashee Rice: 61 projected yards
- Xavier Worthy: 47 projected yards
- Travis Kelce: 40 projected yards
- Hollywood Brown: 28 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 18 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 51 projected yards
- Deebo Samuel: 46 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 36 projected yards
- Jaylin Lane: 17 projected yards
- Chris Moore: 11 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Kansas City vs Washington match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Chiefs vs Commanders: Week 8 Essential Details
The NFL Week 8 game between the Chiefs and Commanders at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to start at 11:15am AEDT on Tuesday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders
- Date: Tuesday 28 October 2025
- Time: 11:15am AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Kansas City vs Washington predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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