Chiefs vs Chargers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 15, 2025
Last updated: Dec 14, 2025, 6:01PM | Published: Dec 7, 2025, 5:01AM
The Kansas City Chiefs will sqaure off with the Los Angeles Chargers in NFL Week 15 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Chiefs vs Chargers game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Kansas City vs LA Chargers NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs a 71% chance of winning against the Chargers in Week 15 of the NFL season.
Chiefs vs Chargers: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.34, Chargers $3.35
- Line: Chiefs -6 ($1.91), Chargers +6 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chiefs at $1.34 and the Chargers at $3.35.
The Chiefs are listed as 6-point favourites against the Chargers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Chargers (+6) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Chargers (+6) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 41.5-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Chiefs vs Chargers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: LA Chargers at $3.35 with Bet365
- Line: Chargers +6 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 41.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Chiefs vs Chargers betting tips are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
While the Chiefs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Chargers to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Chiefs vs Chargers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Chargers at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 15 is the Chiefs winning 23-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Kansas City vs LA Chargers game in Week 15, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Chiefs vs Chargers prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Chiefs vs Chargers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chiefs vs Chargers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Rashee Rice is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Chargers.
Rice has an 11.1% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs WR has a 46.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Rashee Rice: 11.1% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 10.6% probability
- Travis Kelce: 6.4% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 6.0% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 4.1% probability
Chargers First TD Tips
- Omarion Hampton: 8.6% probability
- Kimani Vidal: 7.4% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 7.2% probability
- Keenan Allen: 6.2% probability
- Oronde Gadsden: 3.9% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Rashee Rice: 46.3% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 44.7% probability
- Travis Kelce: 29.9% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 28.4% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 20.5% probability
Chargers Anytime TD Tips
- Omarion Hampton: 41.3% probability
- Kimani Vidal: 36.6% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 35.7% probability
- Keenan Allen: 31.9% probability
- Oronde Gadsden: 21.6% probability
Chiefs-Chargers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 245 passing yards. The Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 209 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 245 projected passing yards
Chargers Starting QB
- Justin Herbert: 209 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Kareem Hunt: 40 projected yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 34 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 27 projected yards
Chargers Rushing Yards
- Omarion Hampton: 47 projected yards
- Kimani Vidal: 36 projected yards
- Justin Herbert: 27 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Rashee Rice: 73 projected yards
- Travis Kelce: 45 projected yards
- Xavier Worthy: 41 projected yards
- Tyquan Thornton: 21 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 19 projected yards
Chargers Receiving Yards
- Ladd McConkey: 53 projected yards
- Keenan Allen: 40 projected yards
- Oronde Gadsden: 40 projected yards
- Tre' Harris: 25 projected yards
- Omarion Hampton: 15 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Kansas City vs LA Chargers game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Chiefs vs Chargers: Week 15 Essential Details
The NFL Week 15 game between the Chiefs and Chargers at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers
- Date: Monday 15 December 2025
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Kansas City vs LA Chargers predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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