Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 17, 2025
Last updated: Dec 26, 2025, 1:15AM | Published: Dec 19, 2025, 5:00AM
The Kansas City Chiefs will face the favoured Denver Broncos in NFL Week 17 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Friday, beginning at 12:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Chiefs vs Broncos game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Kansas City vs Denver NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Broncos a 92% chance of beating the Chiefs in Week 17 of the NFL season.
Chiefs vs Broncos: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $7.50, Broncos $1.10
- Line: Chiefs +13.5 ($1.91), Broncos -13.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 37.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chiefs at $7.50 and the Broncos at $1.10.
The Chiefs are 13.5-point underdogs against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Broncos (-13.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 37.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Chiefs (+13.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 37.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Chiefs vs Broncos: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Denver at $1.10 with Bet365
- Line: Chiefs +13.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 37.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Chiefs vs Broncos best bets are based on world-class modelling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
Chiefs vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 17 is the Broncos prevailing 25-12.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Kansas City vs Denver game in Week 17, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Chiefs vs Broncos: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chiefs vs Broncos? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Denver's RJ Harvey is the most likely player to score the first TD in Chiefs vs Broncos.
Harvey has a 16.9% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Broncos RB has a 52.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Kareem Hunt: 4.8% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 4.8% probability
- Travis Kelce: 4.0% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 3.3% probability
- Hollywood Brown: 2.6% probability
Broncos First TD Tips
- RJ Harvey: 16.9% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 10.0% probability
- Troy Franklin: 6.8% probability
- Bo Nix: 4.7% probability
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 4.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Kareem Hunt: 21.0% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 20.9% probability
- Travis Kelce: 17.8% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 15.0% probability
- Hollywood Brown: 11.8% probability
Broncos Anytime TD Tips
- RJ Harvey: 52.7% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 35.8% probability
- Troy Franklin: 26.1% probability
- Bo Nix: 18.9% probability
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 18.7% probability
Chiefs-Broncos Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Chris Oladokun is projected to have a quiet game with 165 passing yards. The Broncos' Bo Nix is expected to throw for 240 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Chris Oladokun: 165 projected passing yards
Broncos Starting QB
- Bo Nix: 240 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 38 projected yards
- Chris Oladokun: 20 projected yards
- Kareem Hunt: 20 projected yards
Broncos Rushing Yards
- RJ Harvey: 55 projected yards
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 28 projected yards
- Bo Nix: 17 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Travis Kelce: 40 projected yards
- Xavier Worthy: 36 projected yards
- Hollywood Brown: 26 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 25 projected yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 15 projected yards
Broncos Receiving Yards
- Courtland Sutton: 66 projected yards
- Troy Franklin: 44 projected yards
- Evan Engram: 29 projected yards
- Lil'Jordan Humphrey: 26 projected yards
- Marvin Mims: 26 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Kansas City vs Denver match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Chiefs vs Broncos: Week 17 Essential Details
The NFL Week 17 game between the Chiefs and Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:15pm AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos
- Date: Friday 26 December 2025
- Time: 12:15pm AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Kansas City vs Denver predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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