Chargers vs Commanders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2025

The Los Angeles Chargers will sqaure off with the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 5 action at SoFi Stadium on Monday, starting at 7:25am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Chargers vs Commanders game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's LA Chargers vs Washington NFL game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Chargers a 59% chance of defeating the Commanders in Week 5 of the NFL season.

Chargers vs Commanders: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at SoFi Stadium are shown here:

• Head to Head: Chargers $1.64, Commanders $2.30
• Line: Chargers -3 ($1.91), Commanders +3 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 47.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chargers at $1.64 and the Commanders at $2.30.

The Chargers are listed as 3-point favourites against the Commanders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Commanders (+3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Commanders (+3) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 47.5-point over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.

Chargers vs Commanders: Best Bets

• Head to Head: LA Chargers at $1.64 with Bet365
• Line: Commanders +3 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Over 47.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets for today across any sport.

Today's Chargers vs Commanders best bets are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.

Chargers vs Commanders: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chargers vs Commanders at SoFi Stadium in Week 5 is the Chargers winning 25-22.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the LA Chargers vs Washington game in Week 5, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Chargers vs Commanders: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Chargers vs Commanders? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Los Angeles' Omarion Hampton is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Chargers vs Commanders.

Hampton has a 13.6% chance of scoring the first TD at SoFi Stadium, while the Chargers RB has a 53.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Chargers First TD Tips

• Omarion Hampton: 13.6% probability
• Quentin Johnston: 7.9% probability
• Keenan Allen: 7.2% probability
• Ladd McConkey: 6.3% probability
• Oronde Gadsden: 3.2% probability

Commanders First TD Tips

• Deebo Samuel: 7.8% probability
• Chris Rodriguez: 6.0% probability
• Zach Ertz: 5.9% probability
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 5.3% probability
• Jayden Daniels: 5.2% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Chargers Anytime TD Tips

• Omarion Hampton: 53.2% probability
• Quentin Johnston: 35.5% probability
• Keenan Allen: 33.2% probability
• Ladd McConkey: 29.6% probability
• Oronde Gadsden: 16.6% probability

Commanders Anytime TD Tips

• Deebo Samuel: 39.3% probability
• Chris Rodriguez: 31.8% probability
• Zach Ertz: 31.4% probability
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 29.0% probability
• Jayden Daniels: 28.5% probability

Chargers-Commanders Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected for 276 passing yards. The Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 212 yards.

Chargers Starting QB

• Justin Herbert: 276 projected passing yards

Commanders Starting QB

• Jayden Daniels: 212 projected passing yards

Chargers Rushing Yards

• Omarion Hampton: 76 projected yards
• Justin Herbert: 18 projected yards
• Hassan Haskins: 10 projected yards

Commanders Rushing Yards

• Jayden Daniels: 47 projected yards
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 37 projected yards
• Chris Rodriguez: 31 projected yards

Chargers Receiving Yards

• Quentin Johnston: 68 projected yards
• Ladd McConkey: 63 projected yards
• Keenan Allen: 60 projected yards
• Omarion Hampton: 25 projected yards
• Oronde Gadsden: 21 projected yards

Commanders Receiving Yards

• Deebo Samuel: 62 projected yards
• Zach Ertz: 44 projected yards
• Chris Moore: 35 projected yards
• Luke McCaffrey: 23 projected yards
• Jaylin Lane: 19 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the LA Chargers vs Washington game.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Chargers vs Commanders: Week 5 Essential Details

The NFL Week 5 match-up between the Chargers and Commanders at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:25am AEDT on Monday.

• Teams: Los Angeles Chargers vs Washington Commanders
• Date: Monday 6 October 2025
• Time: 7:25am AEDT
• Venue: SoFi Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our LA Chargers vs Washington predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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