Chargers vs Commanders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2025

The Los Angeles Chargers will take on the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 5 action at SoFi Stadium on Monday, starting at 7:25am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Chargers vs Commanders game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's LA Chargers vs Washington NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Chargers a 60% chance of beating the Commanders at SoFi Stadium.

Chargers vs Commanders: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at SoFi Stadium are shown here:

• Head to Head: Chargers $1.61, Commanders $2.40
• Line: Chargers -3 ($1.91), Commanders +3 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chargers at $1.61 and the Commanders at $2.40.

The Chargers are listed as 3-point favourites against the Commanders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Commanders (+3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Chargers and the Commanders have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 48.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.

Chargers vs Commanders: Best Bets

• Head to Head: Washington at $2.40 with Bet365
• Line: Commanders +3 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Over 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Today's Chargers vs Commanders betting tips are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Chargers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a punter.

Chargers vs Commanders: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chargers vs Commanders at SoFi Stadium in Week 5 is the Chargers winning 25-22.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the LA Chargers vs Washington game in Week 5, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.

Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Chargers vs Commanders prediction.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Chargers vs Commanders: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Chargers vs Commanders? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Los Angeles' Omarion Hampton is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Chargers vs Commanders.

Hampton has a 13.9% chance of getting in for six first at SoFi Stadium, while the Chargers RB has a 52.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Chargers First TD Tips

• Omarion Hampton: 13.9% probability
• Quentin Johnston: 8.2% probability
• Keenan Allen: 7.3% probability
• Ladd McConkey: 6.4% probability
• Oronde Gadsden: 3.3% probability

Commanders First TD Tips

• Deebo Samuel: 8.1% probability
• Chris Rodriguez: 6.0% probability
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 5.5% probability
• Jayden Daniels: 5.5% probability
• Zach Ertz: 5.4% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Chargers Anytime TD Tips

• Omarion Hampton: 52.4% probability
• Quentin Johnston: 35.6% probability
• Keenan Allen: 32.4% probability
• Ladd McConkey: 29.1% probability
• Oronde Gadsden: 16.4% probability

Commanders Anytime TD Tips

• Deebo Samuel: 38.1% probability
• Chris Rodriguez: 29.8% probability
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 27.6% probability
• Jayden Daniels: 27.5% probability
• Zach Ertz: 27.1% probability

Chargers-Commanders Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected for 272 passing yards, while the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 216 yards.

Chargers Starting QB

• Justin Herbert: 272 projected passing yards

Commanders Starting QB

• Jayden Daniels: 216 projected passing yards

Chargers Rushing Yards

• Omarion Hampton: 74 projected yards
• Justin Herbert: 18 projected yards
• Hassan Haskins: 10 projected yards

Commanders Rushing Yards

• Jayden Daniels: 47 projected yards
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 36 projected yards
• Chris Rodriguez: 30 projected yards

Chargers Receiving Yards

• Quentin Johnston: 69 projected yards
• Ladd McConkey: 63 projected yards
• Keenan Allen: 60 projected yards
• Oronde Gadsden: 25 projected yards
• Omarion Hampton: 25 projected yards

Commanders Receiving Yards

• Deebo Samuel: 58 projected yards
• Zach Ertz: 42 projected yards
• Chris Moore: 32 projected yards
• Luke McCaffrey: 26 projected yards
• Jaylin Lane: 25 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the LA Chargers vs Washington match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Chargers vs Commanders: Week 5 Essential Details

The NFL Week 5 game between the Chargers and Commanders at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:25am AEDT on Monday.

• Teams: Los Angeles Chargers vs Washington Commanders
• Date: Monday 6 October 2025
• Time: 7:25am AEDT
• Venue: SoFi Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our LA Chargers vs Washington predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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