Chargers vs Commanders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2025
Last updated: Sep 30, 2025, 6:42AM | Published: Sep 28, 2025, 4:01AM
The Los Angeles Chargers will sqaure off with the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 5 action at SoFi Stadium on Monday, beginning at 7:25am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Chargers vs Commanders game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's LA Chargers vs Washington NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Chargers a 60% chance of winning against the Commanders at SoFi Stadium.
Chargers vs Commanders: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at SoFi Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Chargers $1.67, Commanders $2.25
- Line: Chargers -2.5 ($1.91), Commanders +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 47.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chargers at $1.67 and the Commanders at $2.25.
The Chargers are 2.5-point favourites against the Commanders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Commanders (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Chargers and the Commanders have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 47.5-point over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Chargers vs Commanders: Best Bets
- Head to Head: LA Chargers at $1.67 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders +2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 47.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Chargers vs Commanders best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Chargers vs Commanders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chargers vs Commanders at SoFi Stadium in Week 5 is the Chargers winning 25-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the LA Chargers vs Washington game in Week 5, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Chargers vs Commanders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chargers vs Commanders? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Los Angeles' Omarion Hampton is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Chargers vs Commanders.
Hampton has a 15.0% chance of scoring the first TD at SoFi Stadium, while the Chargers RB has a 56.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chargers First TD Tips
- Omarion Hampton: 15.0% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 9.0% probability
- Keenan Allen: 7.2% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 6.3% probability
- Hassan Haskins: 3.0% probability
Commanders First TD Tips
- Chris Rodriguez: 7.5% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 6.7% probability
- Jayden Daniels: 6.1% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 5.9% probability
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 5.9% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chargers Anytime TD Tips
- Omarion Hampton: 56.1% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 38.8% probability
- Keenan Allen: 32.5% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 29.4% probability
- Hassan Haskins: 15.2% probability
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Chris Rodriguez: 40.1% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 36.6% probability
- Jayden Daniels: 34.1% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 33.4% probability
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 33.2% probability
Chargers-Commanders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected for 281 passing yards. The Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 206 yards.
Chargers Starting QB
- Justin Herbert: 281 projected passing yards
Commanders Starting QB
- Jayden Daniels: 206 projected passing yards
Chargers Rushing Yards
- Omarion Hampton: 74 projected yards
- Justin Herbert: 14 projected yards
- Hassan Haskins: 9 projected yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Jayden Daniels: 49 projected yards
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 36 projected yards
- Chris Rodriguez: 29 projected yards
Chargers Receiving Yards
- Quentin Johnston: 62 projected yards
- Ladd McConkey: 57 projected yards
- Keenan Allen: 55 projected yards
- Oronde Gadsden: 21 projected yards
- Omarion Hampton: 19 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 55 projected yards
- Deebo Samuel: 40 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 34 projected yards
- Noah Brown: 11 projected yards
- Luke McCaffrey: 9 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the LA Chargers vs Washington match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Chargers vs Commanders: Week 5 Essential Details
The NFL Week 5 game between the Chargers and Commanders at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Los Angeles Chargers vs Washington Commanders
- Date: Monday 6 October 2025
- Time: 7:25am AEDT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our LA Chargers vs Washington predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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