Celtics vs Heat Prediction and NBA Tips - 2 May 2024
Last updated: May 1, 2024, 11:34PM | Published: Apr 30, 2024, 5:33AM
The Boston Celtics will sqaure off with the Miami Heat in the 2024 NBA Playoffs at TD Garden on Thursday, beginning at 9:30am AEST.
With the likes of Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Derrick White, the Celtics are up against a Heat side that includes Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo and Caleb Martin.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Celtics vs Heat game, as well as the latest betting odds and player props, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Celtics vs Heat
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Boston-Miami NBA Playoffs game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Celtics an 84% chance of beating the Heat at TD Garden.
More: Celtics vs Heat Simulated 10K Times
Celtics vs Heat: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NBA game at TD Garden are shown below:
- Head to Head: Celtics $1.11, Heat $9.40
- Line: Celtics -13.5 ($1.98), Heat +13.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 201.5 Points): Over $1.97, Under $1.93
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Celtics at $1.11 and the Heat at $9.40.
The Celtics are listed as 13.5-point favourites against the Heat, with odds of $1.98 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Heat (+13.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.00.
The Over/Under for Celtics vs Heat sits at 201.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.97 and odds for the Under at $1.93.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Heat (+13.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 201.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of going Over.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Celtics vs Heat: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Miami at $9.40 with Betfair (5.4% edge) 🔥
- Line: Heat +13.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 201.5 at $1.97 with Betfair (52% probability)
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across any sport.
These Celtics vs Heat betting tips are based on complex modelling and betting expertise to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
While the Celtics have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Heat to win is our recommended option due to the 5.4% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Celtics vs Heat: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Celtics vs Heat at TD Garden this Thursday has the Celtics winning 107-95.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Boston vs Miami on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live updates.
Celtics vs Heat: Player Props
Player props are an exciting way to bet on Celtics vs Heat without necessarily betting on the outcome of Thursday's game itself.
Stats Insider has crunched the numbers to predict key individual stats for each team, such as points, rebounds and assists.
Jayson Tatum is expected to lead the way for the Celtics with 32 points, 10 rebounds and 5 assists, while Tyler Herro is projected to have 23 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists for the Heat.
Celtics Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 32 | 10 | 5 |
| Jaylen Brown | 28 | 7 | 3 |
| Derrick White | 15 | 5 | 6 |
| Jrue Holiday | 13 | 5 | 6 |
| Al Horford | 10 | 7 | 3 |
Heat Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 23 | 7 | 5 |
| Bam Adebayo | 22 | 11 | 5 |
| Caleb Martin | 11 | 5 | 3 |
| Nikola Jovic | 9 | 5 | 2 |
| Haywood Highsmith | 7 | 4 | 1 |
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Boston vs Miami match-up at TD Garden.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NBA game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Celtics vs Heat: Preview
The NBA match-up between the Celtics and Heat in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 9:30am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat
- Date: Thursday 2 May 2024
- Time: 9:30am AEST
- Venue: TD Garden
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Boston vs Miami predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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